{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e3e5330a-14e5-4ad4-8dc8-ea792a5e9992", "symbol": "300337", "name": "Yinbang Clad Material Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.997, "architecture_energy": 83.217, "architecture_maturity": 31.454, "architecture_confidence": 87.011, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.89, "rotation_up": 9.15, "upward_expansion": 20.23, "deceleration": 37.15, "rotation_down": 78.53, "downward_expansion": 95.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.630667, 10.350944, 11.465325, 12.089451 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 10.29, "trend_reference": 13.161454, "distance_from_trend": -0.218172, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.328427, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.00372, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.022177, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.314, "excess_performance": -0.3214, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.218172, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023341, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.00372, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.541791, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.190222, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.222902, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.314, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.347928, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 84129164, "relative_activity": 0.658585, "balance": 0.347928, "dry_up": 0.770358, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.122849, "annualized_volatility": 0.553875, "from_high_reference": -0.526461, "from_low_reference": 0.220641 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.161454, "fair_value_reference": 10.328427, "structural_low": 8.43, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.004587, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.007153, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.288335, "worst_return": -0.233923, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.007862, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.053542, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.695829, "worst_return": -0.192893, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.068481, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.000755, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.401831, "worst_return": -0.242874, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.04716, "energy": 53.841873, "activity_lines": [ 11.774551, 12.16248, 12.692251, 13.170407 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.06, "volume": 130040916, "typical_volume": 137031545.6, "trend": 13.628454, "fair_value": 10.274014, "relative_strength": -26.935175, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.818047, "energy": 83.382176, "activity_lines": [ 10.820208, 11.507142, 12.31671, 12.865302 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.84, "volume": 103778652, "typical_volume": 132378073.45, "trend": 13.481788, "fair_value": 10.287326, "relative_strength": -28.538873, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.563396, "energy": 89.909574, "activity_lines": [ 9.984461, 10.924712, 11.95074, 12.556369 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.29, "volume": 75680690, "typical_volume": 129338710.65, "trend": 13.335454, "fair_value": 10.303841, "relative_strength": -23.335015, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.96507, "energy": 88.097511, "activity_lines": [ 9.56592, 10.509737, 11.651485, 12.285932 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.29, "volume": 84129164, "typical_volume": 127742333.8, "trend": 13.161454, "fair_value": 10.328427, "relative_strength": -19.022177, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.997166, "energy": 83.216559, "activity_lines": [ 9.630667, 10.350944, 11.465325, 12.089451 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }