{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e3e696c1-b83e-416b-b3c6-d919a94925ca", "symbol": "601058", "name": "Sailun Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 1.537, "architecture_energy": 23.955, "architecture_maturity": 22.369, "architecture_confidence": 49.422, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.65, "rotation_up": 50.29, "upward_expansion": 38.84, "deceleration": 40.72, "rotation_down": 14.14, "downward_expansion": 42.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.589333, 13.067273, 12.894217, 13.158105 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 13.61, "trend_reference": 13.745445, "distance_from_trend": -0.009854, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.410217, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.014898, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.651127, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.141325, "excess_performance": -0.098121, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.009854, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.081869, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.014898, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014614, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.046511, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085342, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.141325, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.632247, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 163306389, "relative_activity": 0.919703, "balance": 0.632247, "dry_up": 1.293488, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069592, "annualized_volatility": 0.299524, "from_high_reference": -0.245983, "from_low_reference": 0.19386 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.745445, "fair_value_reference": 13.410217, "structural_low": 11.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.029774, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.578947, "median_excess_return": 0.00917, "regime_survival": 0.473684, "best_return": 0.277827, "worst_return": -0.232361, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.048759, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": 0.079379, "regime_survival": 0.111111, "best_return": 0.331915, "worst_return": -0.155221, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.157557, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.092288, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.402128, "worst_return": -0.146847, "sufficient": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.269785, "energy": 21.869431, "activity_lines": [ 12.617333, 12.429599, 12.69155, 13.208901 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.21, "volume": 235336271, "typical_volume": 176260198.2, "trend": 13.905112, "fair_value": 13.370505, "relative_strength": -4.483513, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.161101, "energy": 21.150432, "activity_lines": [ 12.921333, 12.576644, 12.710677, 13.155926 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.16, "volume": 228091954, "typical_volume": 178296882.95, "trend": 13.831112, "fair_value": 13.392032, "relative_strength": 1.908973, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 12.132823, "energy": 24.710072, "activity_lines": [ 13.428, 12.886108, 12.82828, 13.17237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.61, "volume": 163306389, "typical_volume": 177564312.25, "trend": 13.745445, "fair_value": 13.410217, "relative_strength": -4.651127, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 1.536509, "energy": 23.955312, "activity_lines": [ 13.589333, 13.067273, 12.894217, 13.158105 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }