{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e3ecd837-7652-43cf-acb9-f5b0b8d2bd3a", "symbol": "1F1", "name": "Y Ventures Group Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.663, "architecture_energy": 89.024, "architecture_maturity": 29.641, "architecture_confidence": 81.221, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.33, "rotation_up": 8.02, "upward_expansion": 22.0, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 81.79, "downward_expansion": 97.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.006, 0.006273, 0.006719, 0.006957 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.006, "trend_reference": 0.007233, "distance_from_trend": -0.170507, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.01151, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.478697, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.57435, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.142857, "excess_performance": -0.297692, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.170507, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076596, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.478697, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09393, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.345744, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.293076, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.142857, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2000, "relative_activity": 0.001756, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.058489, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025641, "annualized_volatility": 0.763952, "from_high_reference": -0.454545, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.007233, "fair_value_reference": 0.01151, "structural_low": 0.006, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 45, "median_return": -0.037037, "positive_rate": 0.355556, "directional_follow_through": 0.511111, "median_excess_return": -0.038726, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.416667, "worst_return": -0.272727, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.062037, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": -0.115481, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.2, "worst_return": -0.384615, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.197561, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.215634, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.142857, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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"2024-10-11", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.1, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.222222, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.125, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.166667, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.285714, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": 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0.006, "volume": 4400, "typical_volume": 1495960.0, "trend": 0.007467, "fair_value": 0.011907, "relative_strength": -34.286461, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.967928, "energy": 87.636313, "activity_lines": [ 0.0064, 0.006709, 0.007048, 0.007224 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.006, "volume": 110000, "typical_volume": 1191260.0, "trend": 0.007367, "fair_value": 0.011785, "relative_strength": -34.424136, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.401843, "energy": 92.275991, "activity_lines": [ 0.0062, 0.006527, 0.006933, 0.007129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.006, "volume": 150000, "typical_volume": 1138755.0, "trend": 0.0073, "fair_value": 0.011657, "relative_strength": -34.415051, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.05704, "energy": 91.926208, "activity_lines": [ 0.006067, 0.006382, 0.006824, 0.007041 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.006, "volume": 2000, "typical_volume": 1138675.0, "trend": 0.007233, "fair_value": 0.01151, "relative_strength": -34.57435, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.662596, "energy": 89.023734, "activity_lines": [ 0.006, 0.006273, 0.006719, 0.006957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }