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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 94.911, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.768, "architecture_energy": 48.15, "architecture_maturity": 52.311, "architecture_confidence": 69.837, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.75, "rotation_up": 52.64, "upward_expansion": 75.39, "deceleration": 67.73, "rotation_down": 19.93, "downward_expansion": 6.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 328.066667, 324.145455, 316.057143, 301.716129 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 325.0, "trend_reference": 278.866667, "distance_from_trend": 0.165432, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 411.775502, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.210735, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.770017, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.511628, "excess_performance": 0.460393, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.165432, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.133451, "read": "Rising" 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407.747723, "relative_strength": -1.426287, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.935972, "energy": 42.447905, "activity_lines": [ 312.4, 312.963636, 303.166667, 286.12043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 328.0, "volume": 166914, "typical_volume": 90865.4, "trend": 268.466667, "fair_value": 408.793103, "relative_strength": 6.104644, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.106612, "energy": 45.368821, "activity_lines": [ 316.466667, 316.309091, 307.042857, 290.150538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 345.0, "volume": 1289466, "typical_volume": 145247.15, "trend": 271.966667, "fair_value": 409.947456, "relative_strength": 11.374057, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.388431, "energy": 55.336057, "activity_lines": [ 325.8, 322.163636, 311.919048, 295.088172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 325.0, "volume": 51412, "typical_volume": 146161.45, "trend": 275.3, "fair_value": 410.861479, "relative_strength": 4.827996, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.248222, "energy": 46.784994, "activity_lines": [ 327.4, 323.490909, 314.257143, 298.509677 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 325.0, "volume": 44628, "typical_volume": 132587.3, "trend": 278.866667, "fair_value": 411.775502, "relative_strength": 5.770017, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.768143, "energy": 48.149637, "activity_lines": [ 328.066667, 324.145455, 316.057143, 301.716129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }