{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e40209da-17f1-4551-8148-c5930543df41",
    "symbol": "APAM",
    "name": "Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 50.151,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 53.553,
    "architecture_energy": 64.424,
    "architecture_maturity": 11.788,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.638,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.26,
        "rotation_up": 73.0,
        "upward_expansion": 59.28,
        "deceleration": 24.92,
        "rotation_down": 18.97,
        "downward_expansion": 22.28
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        40.082667,
        38.505636,
        37.677764,
        37.497148
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 42.55,
    "trend_reference": 37.911538,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.12235,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 36.82412,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.155493,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.356014,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.001302,
    "excess_performance": -0.126927,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.12235,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019672,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.155493,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.125582,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03356,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.136064,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001302,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.725583,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4703684,
      "relative_activity": 1.183422,
      "balance": 0.725583,
      "dry_up": 1.23049,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.056708,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.235916,
      "from_high_reference": -0.035854,
      "from_low_reference": 0.252945
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 37.911538,
      "fair_value_reference": 36.82412,
      "structural_low": 33.96,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.05952,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048726,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.091465,
        "worst_return": -0.141728,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.009818,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.062676,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.167502,
        "worst_return": -0.126098,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.046457,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.082012,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.131648,
        "worst_return": -0.001302,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.221166,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013742,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.32492,
        "worst_return": -0.077536,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.027781,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.096115,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.15392,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.039047,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.097869,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.038173,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.009398,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.068209,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004739,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.04381,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.121152,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.095375,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.002542,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
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      {
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 38.51,
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        "typical_volume": 3970877.75,
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        "fair_value": 36.638217,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -7.456866,
        "energy": 5.815822,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 39.34,
        "volume": 3608552,
        "typical_volume": 3949848.5,
        "trend": 37.883615,
        "fair_value": 36.684165,
        "relative_strength": -7.293152,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 5.345965,
        "energy": 14.680842,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.773333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 39.24,
        "volume": 5486475,
        "typical_volume": 4025154.45,
        "trend": 37.888207,
        "fair_value": 36.742656,
        "relative_strength": -8.104347,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 23.580544,
        "energy": 29.138008,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.498667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 42.55,
        "volume": 4703684,
        "typical_volume": 3974646.0,
        "trend": 37.911538,
        "fair_value": 36.82412,
        "relative_strength": -3.356014,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 53.553071,
        "energy": 64.423683,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.082667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}