{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e403f159-c090-4776-a604-3403a350f4b2",
    "symbol": "TIRUMALCHM",
    "name": "Thirumalai Chemicals Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -57.948,
    "architecture_energy": 36.935,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.504,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.09,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.16,
        "rotation_up": 20.25,
        "upward_expansion": 4.16,
        "deceleration": 53.86,
        "rotation_down": 52.1,
        "downward_expansion": 77.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        169.128,
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        178.784143,
        181.616279
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 167.759995,
    "trend_reference": 185.623,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.096233,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 252.641516,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.335976,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -23.116541,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.137259,
    "excess_performance": -0.09355,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.096233,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.109527,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.335976,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.191994,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.231165,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.146261,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.137259,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.576789,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4709963,
      "relative_activity": 2.805036,
      "balance": 0.576789,
      "dry_up": 1.999456,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.097525,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.466447,
      "from_high_reference": -0.489781,
      "from_low_reference": 0.061772
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 185.623,
      "fair_value_reference": 252.641516,
      "structural_low": 158.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.014203,
        "positive_rate": 0.590909,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.409091,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005198,
        "regime_survival": 0.772727,
        "best_return": 0.361041,
        "worst_return": -0.151247,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.375,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.273446,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.128697,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.056366,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.262496,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "best_return": 0.302218,
        "worst_return": -0.231575,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 165.210007,
        "volume": 3358081,
        "typical_volume": 1764066.6,
        "trend": 191.757666,
        "fair_value": 253.237407,
        "relative_strength": -25.886609,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.848342,
        "energy": 55.463709,
        "activity_lines": [
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          182.821,
          185.402021
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 167.740005,
        "volume": 2586908,
        "typical_volume": 1816478.55,
        "trend": 189.354333,
        "fair_value": 253.07189,
        "relative_strength": -22.170125,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.941256,
        "energy": 39.723826,
        "activity_lines": [
          168.821337,
          171.44182,
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          183.852495
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 174.25,
        "volume": 2774272,
        "typical_volume": 1828587.4,
        "trend": 187.317,
        "fair_value": 252.857059,
        "relative_strength": -20.397789,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.735789,
        "energy": 38.058351,
        "activity_lines": [
          170.456669,
          170.881093,
          180.355477,
          182.878022
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 167.759995,
        "volume": 4709963,
        "typical_volume": 1679109.7,
        "trend": 185.623,
        "fair_value": 252.641516,
        "relative_strength": -23.116541,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.947957,
        "energy": 36.934785,
        "activity_lines": [
          169.128,
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          181.616279
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}