{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e4057f3c-ca10-4abf-b3e2-2c3b482c8627", "symbol": "JILL", "name": "J.Jill Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 81.659, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.533, "architecture_energy": 80.811, "architecture_maturity": 32.0, "architecture_confidence": 79.139, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.55, "rotation_up": 82.8, "upward_expansion": 95.14, "deceleration": 40.74, "rotation_down": 9.66, "downward_expansion": 17.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.838, 16.99417, 15.418386, 15.018298 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 18.92, "trend_reference": 14.915208, "distance_from_trend": 0.268504, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 21.429577, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.117108, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.12425, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.14134, "excess_performance": 0.015715, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.268504, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038838, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.117108, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.282539, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.111242, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.342307, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.14134, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.027177, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 348616, "relative_activity": 0.841637, "balance": 6.027177, "dry_up": 0.975256, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085012, "annualized_volatility": 0.548157, "from_high_reference": -0.024239, "from_low_reference": 0.842817 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.915208, "fair_value_reference": 21.429577, "structural_low": 10.266893, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.030225, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.012341, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.228235, "worst_return": -0.227956, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.135394, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.11564, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.135358, "worst_return": -0.259848, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.099306, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.172172, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.387527, "worst_return": -0.166338, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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14.460649, "fair_value": 21.529066, "relative_strength": -2.28069, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.927578, "energy": 63.43191, "activity_lines": [ 15.949632, 14.89456, 14.031069, 14.230308 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 16.61, "volume": 426143, "typical_volume": 393410.7, "trend": 14.536095, "fair_value": 21.504866, "relative_strength": 1.318913, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.759699, "energy": 65.213802, "activity_lines": [ 16.279429, 15.348847, 14.282652, 14.368976 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.86, "volume": 549924, "typical_volume": 410134.8, "trend": 14.622821, "fair_value": 21.474452, "relative_strength": 3.699337, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 43.685306, "energy": 65.112339, "activity_lines": [ 16.565333, 15.785154, 14.560096, 14.518905 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.22, "volume": 291167, "typical_volume": 411047.2, "trend": 14.776589, "fair_value": 21.449186, "relative_strength": 10.850405, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 53.949233, "energy": 64.658993, "activity_lines": [ 17.162667, 16.379428, 14.96332, 14.750981 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.92, "volume": 348616, "typical_volume": 414211.7, "trend": 14.915208, "fair_value": 21.429577, "relative_strength": 11.12425, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.533299, "energy": 80.811176, "activity_lines": [ 17.838, 16.99417, 15.418386, 15.018298 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }