{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e4104ea3-46f7-40f6-b085-5f8689ec9014", "symbol": "6924", "name": "EIKEI GROUP CAYMAN CO LTD", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 9.136, "architecture_energy": 15.043, "architecture_maturity": 71.881, "architecture_confidence": 78.737, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.88, "rotation_up": 17.12, "upward_expansion": 40.73, "deceleration": 87.09, "rotation_down": 36.91, "downward_expansion": 32.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 109.7, 113.21796, 118.038194, 109.942222 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 115.5, "trend_reference": 97.258271, "distance_from_trend": 0.18756, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 77.585141, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.488687, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 8.057758, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.13428, "excess_performance": 0.692908, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.18756, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.229524, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.488687, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.344731, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.080578, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.21786, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.13428, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.350069, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 201010, "relative_activity": 0.584307, "balance": 1.350069, "dry_up": 0.541502, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.17684, "annualized_volatility": 0.885487, "from_high_reference": -0.377915, "from_low_reference": 1.563864 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 97.258271, "fair_value_reference": 77.585141, "structural_low": 53.444939, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.141232, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.12066, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.141232, "worst_return": -0.141232, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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22.639739, "activity_lines": [ 121.172603, 127.110267, 118.324443, 106.358759 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 103.0, "volume": 120027, "typical_volume": 347670.5, "trend": 93.415072, "fair_value": 76.445325, "relative_strength": 0.081188, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.836085, "energy": 16.789082, "activity_lines": [ 115.030229, 121.601029, 118.06705, 107.064315 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 103.0, "volume": 184001, "typical_volume": 346470.55, "trend": 94.606341, "fair_value": 76.757733, "relative_strength": 1.723018, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.70773, "energy": 12.788798, "activity_lines": [ 110.017139, 116.521898, 117.593328, 107.682697 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 110.0, "volume": 240101, "typical_volume": 348764.2, "trend": 95.871024, "fair_value": 77.144271, "relative_strength": 6.359659, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.175163, "energy": 16.251976, "activity_lines": [ 108.466667, 113.782369, 117.637565, 108.675836 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 115.5, "volume": 201010, "typical_volume": 344014.65, "trend": 97.258271, "fair_value": 77.585141, "relative_strength": 8.057758, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.136498, "energy": 15.043043, "activity_lines": [ 109.7, 113.21796, 118.038194, 109.942222 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }