{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e419ff99-698b-4a4e-9604-a8e68e11351f", "symbol": "LCTX", "name": "Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc.", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -73.862, "architecture_energy": 53.621, "architecture_maturity": 60.018, "architecture_confidence": 87.527, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.71, "rotation_up": 19.04, "upward_expansion": 6.81, "deceleration": 54.42, "rotation_down": 62.49, "downward_expansion": 80.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.518067, 3.646364, 3.793743, 4.079353 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.252, "trend_reference": 4.4609, "distance_from_trend": -0.270999, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.851288, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.155607, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.086766, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.347512, "excess_performance": -0.376412, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.270999, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12988, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.155607, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.181479, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.390868, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078326, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.347512, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.365675, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 40367, "relative_activity": 2.486625, "balance": 0.365675, "dry_up": 1.329184, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.138305, "annualized_volatility": 0.569616, "from_high_reference": -0.511712, "from_low_reference": 0.06623 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.4609, "fair_value_reference": 3.851288, "structural_low": 3.05, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": -0.031781, "positive_rate": 0.411765, "directional_follow_through": 0.588235, "median_excess_return": -0.068469, "regime_survival": 0.882353, "best_return": 0.557278, "worst_return": -0.371593, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.080164, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.114445, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 1.020112, "worst_return": -0.434138, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.032072, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.055655, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.858171, "worst_return": -0.44801, "sufficient": true }, { 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.966038, "energy": 30.115956, "activity_lines": [ 3.896933, 3.805964, 4.010333, 4.304082 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.446, "volume": 2418, "typical_volume": 16681.85, "trend": 4.603567, "fair_value": 3.876295, "relative_strength": -37.329238, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.338595, "energy": 35.870023, "activity_lines": [ 3.760067, 3.750673, 3.928767, 4.224774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.644, "volume": 29935, "typical_volume": 15715.05, "trend": 4.546467, "fair_value": 3.865038, "relative_strength": -31.769517, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.88472, "energy": 39.397667, "activity_lines": [ 3.7018, 3.735, 3.876733, 4.162867 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.252, "volume": 40367, "typical_volume": 16233.65, "trend": 4.4609, "fair_value": 3.851288, "relative_strength": -39.086766, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.861817, "energy": 53.621271, "activity_lines": [ 3.518067, 3.646364, 3.793743, 4.079353 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }