{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e423f8b2-839b-4ae7-ace8-7c9fd778f51b", "symbol": "ITECH", "name": "I-Tech AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 50.848, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.737, "architecture_energy": 37.411, "architecture_maturity": 65.998, "architecture_confidence": 59.069, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.08, "rotation_up": 39.78, "upward_expansion": 67.45, "deceleration": 82.59, "rotation_down": 27.01, "downward_expansion": 17.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 67.2, 67.492728, 65.548505, 61.822878 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 66.599998, "trend_reference": 57.148636, "distance_from_trend": 0.165382, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 59.407293, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.121074, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.28008, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.557521, "excess_performance": 0.496027, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.165382, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071406, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.121074, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017198, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.092801, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.120807, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.557521, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.487606, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 60489, "relative_activity": 0.791202, "balance": 0.487606, "dry_up": 0.630905, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066843, "annualized_volatility": 0.360777, "from_high_reference": -0.454555, "from_low_reference": 0.609193 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 57.148636, "fair_value_reference": 59.407293, "structural_low": 41.681432, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.007407, "positive_rate": 0.391304, "directional_follow_through": 0.391304, "median_excess_return": -0.006585, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.438596, "worst_return": -0.380054, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.054767, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.136192, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.465517, "worst_return": -0.497207, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.116283, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.109802, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.7, "worst_return": -0.41779, "sufficient": true }, { 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.106806, "energy": 52.542929, "activity_lines": [ 67.780001, 67.135423, 62.597545, 58.868894 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 68.0, "volume": 33509, "typical_volume": 85605.45, "trend": 55.665914, "fair_value": 58.922182, "relative_strength": -8.153169, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.506114, "energy": 48.355719, "activity_lines": [ 67.733334, 67.458464, 63.556197, 59.703313 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 68.0, "volume": 50711, "typical_volume": 82408.55, "trend": 56.206479, "fair_value": 59.093629, "relative_strength": -8.067114, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.494469, "energy": 45.767273, "activity_lines": [ 67.753334, 67.732728, 64.406801, 60.499061 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 66.800003, "volume": 48227, "typical_volume": 80261.5, "trend": 56.674353, "fair_value": 59.24123, "relative_strength": -9.211428, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.634615, "energy": 38.826484, "activity_lines": [ 67.506668, 67.649092, 65.029003, 61.182514 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 66.599998, "volume": 60489, "typical_volume": 76452.05, "trend": 57.148636, "fair_value": 59.407293, "relative_strength": -9.28008, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.736677, "energy": 37.410909, "activity_lines": [ 67.2, 67.492728, 65.548505, 61.822878 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }