{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e43d7ceb-df8d-45ce-80fb-733cd0c1fd56", "symbol": "6712", "name": "Ever Supreme Bio Technology Co., Ltd", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 72.862, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.451, "architecture_energy": 20.925, "architecture_maturity": 48.529, "architecture_confidence": 76.886, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.12, "rotation_up": 28.0, "upward_expansion": 62.27, "deceleration": 87.99, "rotation_down": 27.1, "downward_expansion": 14.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 148.966667, 151.445455, 145.834105, 142.472356 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 147.0, "trend_reference": 140.3139, "distance_from_trend": 0.047651, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 146.011139, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.006773, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -28.890937, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.040847, "excess_performance": -0.400525, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.047651, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008087, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.006773, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.12623, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.288909, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.123116, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.040847, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.382883, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1648668, "relative_activity": 0.632734, "balance": 2.382883, "dry_up": 0.683548, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081109, "annualized_volatility": 0.375536, "from_high_reference": -0.201087, "from_low_reference": 0.215354 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 140.3139, "fair_value_reference": 146.011139, "structural_low": 120.952377, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.010899, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.010505, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.086387, "worst_return": -0.15625, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.017101, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.068834, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.107692, "worst_return": -0.265625, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.012769, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.204546, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.112821, "worst_return": -0.47017, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.006154, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.059561, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.021277, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.043344, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.013158, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": 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"activity_lines": [ 158.166667, 148.852814, 140.7113, 139.829769 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 150.0, "volume": 6008625, "typical_volume": 2558922.75, "trend": 140.907609, "fair_value": 145.781222, "relative_strength": -25.652908, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.69399, "energy": 67.840481, "activity_lines": [ 157.633333, 150.209091, 141.955183, 140.410255 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 147.5, "volume": 1821732, "typical_volume": 2518906.3, "trend": 140.744911, "fair_value": 145.834955, "relative_strength": -27.739569, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.151136, "energy": 67.665083, "activity_lines": [ 155.366667, 150.781818, 142.928063, 140.835571 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 145.5, "volume": 1900513, "typical_volume": 2523616.7, "trend": 140.469088, "fair_value": 145.875868, "relative_strength": -27.021376, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.336559, "energy": 42.182386, "activity_lines": [ 151.866667, 150.636364, 143.647431, 141.142351 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 154.5, "volume": 1753365, "typical_volume": 2554117.2, "trend": 140.415836, "fair_value": 145.976783, "relative_strength": -23.52398, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.741229, "energy": 26.486043, "activity_lines": [ 151.5, 151.909091, 145.152732, 142.047571 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 147.0, "volume": 1648668, "typical_volume": 2605623.85, "trend": 140.3139, "fair_value": 146.011139, "relative_strength": -28.890937, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.451285, "energy": 20.924952, "activity_lines": [ 148.966667, 151.445455, 145.834105, 142.472356 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }