{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e4440840-2173-4c0e-b30e-d72fd55b7e39", "symbol": "KSM-F116", "name": "KSM Mutual Funds Ltd. - KSM ETF (6D) Short Leveraged DAX 30 x3 Monthly", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.932, "architecture_energy": 67.59, "architecture_maturity": 91.728, "architecture_confidence": 94.955, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.04, "rotation_up": 29.99, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 59.92, "rotation_down": 53.45, "downward_expansion": 83.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.044, 45.549818, 1308.866381, 2335.820731 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 42.29, "trend_reference": 3480.005667, "distance_from_trend": -0.987848, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7816.840833, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.99459, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -99.159582, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.992015, "excess_performance": -1.020915, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.987848, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.346195, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.99459, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.541408, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.991596, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.631143, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.992015, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.462788, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 111064, "relative_activity": 1.211133, "balance": 0.462788, "dry_up": 1.032018, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 9.787675, "annualized_volatility": 6.309502, "from_high_reference": -0.993235, "from_low_reference": 0.008826 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3480.005667, "fair_value_reference": 7816.840833, 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.913101, "energy": 67.703183, "activity_lines": [ 46.325333, 124.385818, 1577.681048, 2568.382409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.29, "volume": 111064, "typical_volume": 91702.6, "trend": 3480.005667, "fair_value": 7816.840833, "relative_strength": -99.159582, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.932446, "energy": 67.589711, "activity_lines": [ 45.044, 45.549818, 1308.866381, 2335.820731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }