{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e45c249d-9d6a-4510-94bb-bb0a333383b6", "symbol": "AADR", "name": "ADVISORSHARES DORSEY WRIGHT ADR ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 67.393, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -30.091, "architecture_energy": 15.291, "architecture_maturity": 32.463, "architecture_confidence": 71.531, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.14, "rotation_up": 24.85, "upward_expansion": 14.73, "deceleration": 40.32, "rotation_down": 31.65, "downward_expansion": 60.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 83.313093, 82.951364, 83.369604, 84.050249 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 84.3486, "trend_reference": 85.866298, "distance_from_trend": -0.017675, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 70.817978, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.191062, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.807698, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.09513, "excess_performance": -0.282584, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.017675, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01047, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.191062, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063424, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.138077, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019077, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.09513, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.198577, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21683, "relative_activity": 1.6462, "balance": 2.198577, "dry_up": 1.328469, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037448, "annualized_volatility": 0.227848, "from_high_reference": -0.142084, "from_low_reference": 0.085707 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 85.866298, "fair_value_reference": 70.817978, "structural_low": 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82.115841, 82.965774, 83.620831, 85.044261 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 84.185, "volume": 7662, "typical_volume": 14007.5, "trend": 86.475035, "fair_value": 69.983548, "relative_strength": -15.3003, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.632516, "energy": 38.588901, "activity_lines": [ 82.773365, 83.086592, 83.576593, 84.894221 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 82.115, "volume": 4380, "typical_volume": 13764.15, "trend": 86.362798, "fair_value": 70.188584, "relative_strength": -13.525411, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.687827, "energy": 33.453751, "activity_lines": [ 82.597721, 82.829075, 83.389807, 84.612928 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 82.58, "volume": 31879, "typical_volume": 14432.4, "trend": 86.196137, "fair_value": 70.387895, "relative_strength": -11.383413, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.132098, "energy": 26.471974, "activity_lines": [ 82.64452, 82.712295, 83.306034, 84.368877 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 82.9496, "volume": 12050, "typical_volume": 14516.55, "trend": 86.040797, "fair_value": 70.598062, "relative_strength": -11.232751, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.433278, "energy": 19.425725, "activity_lines": [ 82.817807, 82.681426, 83.272489, 84.159423 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 84.3486, "volume": 21683, "typical_volume": 13171.55, "trend": 85.866298, "fair_value": 70.817978, "relative_strength": -13.807698, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.091157, "energy": 15.291308, "activity_lines": [ 83.313093, 82.951364, 83.369604, 84.050249 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }