{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e4617bb3-8cf1-402f-9fbc-187b7704d131", "symbol": "EQIX", "name": "Equinix Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 84.277, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 14.149, "architecture_energy": 8.199, "architecture_maturity": 37.976, "architecture_confidence": 90.184, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.06, "rotation_up": 24.33, "upward_expansion": 42.27, "deceleration": 83.22, "rotation_down": 30.42, "downward_expansion": 33.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 1042.276667, 1046.644, 1055.324664, 1038.805581 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1042.62, "trend_reference": 999.023902, "distance_from_trend": 0.043639, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 831.750638, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.253525, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.492327, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.241923, "excess_performance": 0.054469, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.043639, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108393, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.253525, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073984, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.014923, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038056, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.241923, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.746171, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3356465, "relative_activity": 1.215538, "balance": 0.746171, "dry_up": 1.06262, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060239, "annualized_volatility": 0.305661, "from_high_reference": -0.072398, "from_low_reference": 0.461657 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 999.023902, "fair_value_reference": 831.750638, "structural_low": 832.077106, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.001462, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": -0.026672, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.086383, "worst_return": -0.10738, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.034293, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.083484, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.12274, "worst_return": -0.132558, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.149829, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.014489, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.225327, "worst_return": -0.141477, "sufficient": true 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1053.328279, 1015.572454 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1051.21, "volume": 2326024, "typical_volume": 2874792.9, "trend": 961.985173, "fair_value": 823.92347, "relative_strength": 2.718926, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.626739, "energy": 22.08924, "activity_lines": [ 1051.884, 1060.599363, 1055.453771, 1021.99233 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1020.0, "volume": 2359937, "typical_volume": 2815572.7, "trend": 970.957859, "fair_value": 825.603855, "relative_strength": 3.844134, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.464664, "energy": 14.089398, "activity_lines": [ 1039.046, 1052.552218, 1053.975882, 1025.735222 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1084.24, "volume": 2528513, "typical_volume": 2778765.75, "trend": 981.91383, "fair_value": 827.75478, "relative_strength": 11.876903, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.472169, "energy": 18.150277, "activity_lines": [ 1050.011333, 1057.038, 1058.37591, 1033.043747 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1019.28, "volume": 3491937, "typical_volume": 2788968.45, "trend": 990.677742, "fair_value": 829.726926, "relative_strength": 4.437694, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.273411, "energy": 7.359685, "activity_lines": [ 1039.853333, 1049.169091, 1055.867564, 1035.454468 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1042.62, "volume": 3356465, "typical_volume": 2761300.85, "trend": 999.023902, "fair_value": 831.750638, "relative_strength": 1.492327, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.14942, "energy": 8.198624, "activity_lines": [ 1042.276667, 1046.644, 1055.324664, 1038.805581 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }