{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e4674350-8eee-4d23-8e95-bf79bdd4e3e3", "symbol": "002326", "name": "Zhejiang Yongtai Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.205, "architecture_energy": 72.775, "architecture_maturity": 19.826, "architecture_confidence": 83.997, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.83, "rotation_up": 11.72, "upward_expansion": 19.07, "deceleration": 34.26, "rotation_down": 72.47, "downward_expansion": 90.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.725333, 20.225818, 21.505952, 22.299204 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 19.5, "trend_reference": 23.574333, "distance_from_trend": -0.172829, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.348077, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.359067, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.347976, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.239766, "excess_performance": -0.247166, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.172829, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038972, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.359067, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.349648, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.13348, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.137651, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.239766, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.848961, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 149605939, "relative_activity": 0.799608, "balance": 0.848961, "dry_up": 1.119593, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.142801, "annualized_volatility": 0.624116, "from_high_reference": -0.409091, "from_low_reference": 0.497696 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.574333, "fair_value_reference": 14.348077, "structural_low": 15.31, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.026212, "positive_rate": 0.34375, "directional_follow_through": 0.65625, "median_excess_return": -0.029821, "regime_survival": 0.90625, "best_return": 0.241762, "worst_return": -0.353349, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.1037, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.060109, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.170077, "worst_return": -0.268193, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.161637, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.186032, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.022346, "worst_return": -0.344747, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.683188, "energy": 66.559171, "activity_lines": [ 19.926666, 21.187091, 22.220714, 22.947828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.25, "volume": 255309292, "typical_volume": 188635662.85, "trend": 23.755, "fair_value": 14.319615, "relative_strength": -14.389737, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.172124, "energy": 75.866717, "activity_lines": [ 18.91, 20.538182, 21.789857, 22.57372 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.5, "volume": 149605939, "typical_volume": 187099014.65, "trend": 23.574333, "fair_value": 14.348077, "relative_strength": -13.347976, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.205212, "energy": 72.774934, "activity_lines": [ 18.725333, 20.225818, 21.505952, 22.299204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }