{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e46757a3-4ecb-47a5-926b-a22d8cd4e4ce", "symbol": "WBS", "name": "Webster Financial Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.38, "architecture_energy": 69.344, "architecture_maturity": 49.249, "architecture_confidence": 84.649, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 66.35, "upward_expansion": 84.82, "deceleration": 60.97, "rotation_down": 21.09, "downward_expansion": 11.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 77.384667, 76.689455, 75.039415, 73.687725 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 79.03, "trend_reference": 71.800594, "distance_from_trend": 0.100687, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 53.312237, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.482399, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.210172, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.092607, "excess_performance": -0.033018, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.100687, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075248, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.482399, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036519, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.062102, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006789, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.092607, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.951557, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30333823, "relative_activity": 1.800945, "balance": 1.951557, "dry_up": 1.369595, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.022207, "annualized_volatility": 0.136843, "from_high_reference": -0.008904, "from_low_reference": 0.527091 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 71.800594, "fair_value_reference": 53.312237, "structural_low": 66.690269, 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73.244766, 72.025812 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 76.01, "volume": 20865310, "typical_volume": 17664020.75, "trend": 70.419361, "fair_value": 52.637559, "relative_strength": 7.137235, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.058455, "energy": 83.57216, "activity_lines": [ 76.204667, 75.216727, 73.637796, 72.412425 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 76.07, "volume": 20516946, "typical_volume": 16691495.45, "trend": 70.831797, "fair_value": 52.848198, "relative_strength": 7.634225, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.120175, "energy": 70.741878, "activity_lines": [ 76.197333, 75.550909, 74.016171, 72.776982 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 77.22, "volume": 20557814, "typical_volume": 16183701.4, "trend": 71.301689, "fair_value": 53.07182, "relative_strength": 7.761485, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.607867, "energy": 63.133076, "activity_lines": [ 76.543333, 76.004909, 74.466224, 73.189124 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 79.03, "volume": 30333823, "typical_volume": 16843285.1, "trend": 71.800594, "fair_value": 53.312237, "relative_strength": 6.210172, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.37994, "energy": 69.344393, "activity_lines": [ 77.384667, 76.689455, 75.039415, 73.687725 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }