{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e46b9bba-4332-4026-84d9-8cb37ff7a5da",
    "symbol": "TCH-F94",
    "name": "Tachlit Indices Mutual Fund Management Ltd. - Tachlit SAL (4D) LBMA Gold Price AM",
    "exchange": "TLV",
    "country": "IL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "TA35.TA",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -54.154,
    "architecture_energy": 63.58,
    "architecture_maturity": 95.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.419,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.87,
        "rotation_up": 27.99,
        "upward_expansion": 22.5,
        "deceleration": 67.0,
        "rotation_down": 47.37,
        "downward_expansion": 67.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 103.55,
    "trend_reference": 7849.739214,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.986808,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 8046.080686,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.98713,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -98.970249,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.991555,
    "excess_performance": -1.020455,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.986808,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.31683,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.98713,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.30489,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.989702,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.777246,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.991555,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.71714,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13782,
      "relative_activity": 1.507152,
      "balance": 0.71714,
      "dry_up": 1.220064,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
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    "risk": {
      "range_context": 8.375556,
      "annualized_volatility": 6.350043,
      "from_high_reference": -0.992481,
      "from_low_reference": 0.084085
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7849.739214,
      "fair_value_reference": 8046.080686,
      "structural_low": 95.518301,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.008636,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.416667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005061,
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        "worst_return": -0.037143,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.026013,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
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        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.016099,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 11104.6,
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        "fair_value": 8120.331047,
        "relative_strength": -99.079451,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 99.783799,
        "volume": 17863,
        "typical_volume": 10615.4,
        "trend": 8227.020881,
        "fair_value": 8083.252738,
        "relative_strength": -99.027689,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.571598,
        "energy": 67.402113,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 103.55,
        "volume": 13782,
        "typical_volume": 9144.4,
        "trend": 7849.739214,
        "fair_value": 8046.080686,
        "relative_strength": -98.970249,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}