{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e4781d2d-1928-4c7c-b2f1-62f132f0870a", "symbol": "600075", "name": "Xinjiang Tianye Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.607, "architecture_energy": 46.438, "architecture_maturity": 64.653, "architecture_confidence": 95.383, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.4, "rotation_up": 27.67, "upward_expansion": 21.16, "deceleration": 44.58, "rotation_down": 38.65, "downward_expansion": 68.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.468, 4.402727, 4.851619, 5.288516 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4.54, "trend_reference": 5.697667, "distance_from_trend": -0.203183, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.590039, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.010902, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.460359, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.278219, "excess_performance": -0.235016, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.203183, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02665, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.010902, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.421485, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.134604, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.285342, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.278219, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.512169, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 83624106, "relative_activity": 0.665992, "balance": 0.512169, "dry_up": 0.880968, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099797, "annualized_volatility": 0.527558, "from_high_reference": -0.441574, "from_low_reference": 0.164103 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.697667, "fair_value_reference": 4.590039, "structural_low": 3.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.012438, "positive_rate": 0.393939, "directional_follow_through": 0.606061, "median_excess_return": -0.00048, "regime_survival": 0.848485, "best_return": 0.144723, "worst_return": -0.113703, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.052083, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.020734, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.087701, "worst_return": -0.216398, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.080128, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.082412, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.145078, "worst_return": -0.177083, "sufficient": true }, 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"close": 4.47, "volume": 127204268, "typical_volume": 158712542.5, "trend": 5.718333, "fair_value": 4.593399, "relative_strength": -12.207533, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.482197, "energy": 73.621389, "activity_lines": [ 4.298, 4.394909, 5.041619, 5.438817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.56, "volume": 96792953, "typical_volume": 136259772.4, "trend": 5.711333, "fair_value": 4.59156, "relative_strength": -10.746157, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.269472, "energy": 51.968847, "activity_lines": [ 4.4, 4.393091, 4.939952, 5.364086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.54, "volume": 83624106, "typical_volume": 125563211.5, "trend": 5.697667, "fair_value": 4.590039, "relative_strength": -13.460359, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.607132, "energy": 46.437577, "activity_lines": [ 4.468, 4.402727, 4.851619, 5.288516 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }