{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e47d7986-16e6-4afd-8e80-f734ffaed3de",
    "symbol": "200869",
    "name": "Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 79.895,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 43.303,
    "architecture_energy": 30.412,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.304,
    "architecture_confidence": 45.797,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.66,
        "rotation_up": 37.09,
        "upward_expansion": 63.25,
        "deceleration": 66.75,
        "rotation_down": 24.07,
        "downward_expansion": 15.58
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.1,
        8.134255,
        7.972954,
        7.896982
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 7.94,
    "trend_reference": 7.865354,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.00949,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 8.191631,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.030718,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.970853,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.005063,
    "excess_performance": -0.002336,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00949,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002435,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.030718,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064241,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.059709,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.201352,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005063,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.753047,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1144550,
      "relative_activity": 0.706357,
      "balance": 0.753047,
      "dry_up": 1.412847,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.032096,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.158011,
      "from_high_reference": -0.119734,
      "from_low_reference": 0.114855
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.865354,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.191631,
      "structural_low": 7.122003,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.011559,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010739,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.072997,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.007642,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.043599,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.080749,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.026015,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.104005,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 8.231024,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 3504448,
        "typical_volume": 1485486.85,
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        "fair_value": 8.22085,
        "relative_strength": -0.571527,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 39.090829,
        "energy": 57.221969,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 3694005,
        "typical_volume": 1597711.5,
        "trend": 7.866688,
        "fair_value": 8.210878,
        "relative_strength": -0.812476,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.077009,
        "energy": 45.938192,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.182,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.18,
        "volume": 814255,
        "typical_volume": 1598253.6,
        "trend": 7.868354,
        "fair_value": 8.201938,
        "relative_strength": 1.261677,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.987401,
        "energy": 42.3236,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.176667,
          8.161371,
          7.960385,
          7.89236
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.94,
        "volume": 1144550,
        "typical_volume": 1620356.1,
        "trend": 7.865354,
        "fair_value": 8.191631,
        "relative_strength": -5.970853,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.303033,
        "energy": 30.412042,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.1,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}