{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e4915fed-6e92-4d93-ac7b-da7d907ca8f2", "symbol": "SORIANAB", "name": "Organizaci\u00f3n Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.617, "architecture_energy": 60.226, "architecture_maturity": 29.626, "architecture_confidence": 86.354, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.72, "rotation_up": 19.87, "upward_expansion": 12.45, "deceleration": 40.1, "rotation_down": 63.44, "downward_expansion": 90.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.672, 30.059091, 30.778524, 31.714946 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 29.469999, "trend_reference": 32.997667, "distance_from_trend": -0.106907, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 30.154622, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.022704, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.795111, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.181389, "excess_performance": -0.126722, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.106907, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024131, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.022704, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076457, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.067951, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021739, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.181389, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.360874, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4366, "relative_activity": 0.152126, "balance": 2.360874, "dry_up": 0.131821, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061497, "annualized_volatility": 0.41016, "from_high_reference": -0.309836, "from_low_reference": 0.250759 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.997667, "fair_value_reference": 30.154622, "structural_low": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.407013, "energy": 28.387973, "activity_lines": [ 31.416666, 31.384545, 32.325143, 33.289255 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 29.91, "volume": 1071, "typical_volume": 53088.95, "trend": 34.268664, "fair_value": 30.045436, "relative_strength": -5.403288, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.650965, "energy": 44.881887, "activity_lines": [ 30.764666, 31.096, 31.985524, 33.010891 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 30.6, "volume": 5607, "typical_volume": 42794.7, "trend": 34.256813, "fair_value": 30.069431, "relative_strength": -2.466613, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.874651, "energy": 44.559171, "activity_lines": [ 30.668667, 30.963636, 31.750143, 32.774203 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 30.27, "volume": 4421, "typical_volume": 40435.9, "trend": 33.976, "fair_value": 30.09423, "relative_strength": -3.713657, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.712634, "energy": 47.376225, "activity_lines": [ 30.482, 30.824, 31.513809, 32.516989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.41, "volume": 2989, "typical_volume": 40095.8, "trend": 33.666333, "fair_value": 30.112647, "relative_strength": -6.103513, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.512844, "energy": 56.799734, "activity_lines": [ 30.066667, 30.550727, 31.232381, 32.222408 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.59, "volume": 3357, "typical_volume": 39466.75, "trend": 33.259333, "fair_value": 30.13464, "relative_strength": -6.350965, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.034842, "energy": 57.795363, "activity_lines": [ 29.834, 30.321091, 31.001857, 31.959419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.469999, "volume": 4366, "typical_volume": 28699.95, "trend": 32.997667, "fair_value": 30.154622, "relative_strength": -6.795111, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.617424, "energy": 60.225971, "activity_lines": [ 29.672, 30.059091, 30.778524, 31.714946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }