{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e49a3ef0-f5fd-48f8-9890-58bd87d257aa",
    "symbol": "XSEA",
    "name": "iShares ESG Aware MSCI EAFE Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.082,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.687,
    "architecture_energy": 55.524,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.283,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.815,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.69,
        "rotation_up": 54.9,
        "upward_expansion": 81.59,
        "deceleration": 64.29,
        "rotation_down": 25.98,
        "downward_expansion": 8.26
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        35.156333,
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        33.89286
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 35.904999,
    "trend_reference": 33.409737,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.074687,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.817538,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.290732,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.938261,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.080174,
    "excess_performance": -0.040247,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074687,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03032,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.290732,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054883,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019383,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039557,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080174,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.56746,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6500,
      "relative_activity": 0.707676,
      "balance": 2.56746,
      "dry_up": 1.11595,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023239,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.186362,
      "from_high_reference": -0.007052,
      "from_low_reference": 0.206637
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 33.409737,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.817538,
      "structural_low": 30.23,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.007365,
        "positive_rate": 0.658537,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.658537,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001172,
        "regime_survival": 0.756098,
        "best_return": 0.051152,
        "worst_return": -0.111927,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.010308,
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        "worst_return": -0.033511,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": 0.027795,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.1653,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "close": 32.45303,
        "volume": 11100,
        "typical_volume": 14761.7,
        "trend": 32.185771,
        "fair_value": 26.649967,
        "relative_strength": -7.82011,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.146721,
        "energy": 30.755663,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.821677,
          32.331642,
          32.485798,
          32.376481
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 32.44318,
        "volume": 25500,
        "typical_volume": 15508.6,
        "trend": 32.207432,
        "fair_value": 26.716223,
        "relative_strength": -7.52294,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.960062,
        "energy": 30.092618,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.807202,
          32.341801,
          32.484726,
          32.393088
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 33.103077,
        "volume": 12700,
        "typical_volume": 15400.3,
        "trend": 32.279128,
        "fair_value": 26.785683,
        "relative_strength": -5.893997,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.817795,
        "energy": 28.494426,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.90048,
          32.500975,
          32.542828,
          32.450872
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 32.541676,
        "volume": 8400,
        "typical_volume": 15702.9,
        "trend": 32.307112,
        "fair_value": 26.851121,
        "relative_strength": -6.56303,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.63986,
        "energy": 20.109118,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.744419,
          32.577657,
          32.542385,
          32.46781
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 33.477345,
        "volume": 14100,
        "typical_volume": 16105.0,
        "trend": 32.357501,
        "fair_value": 26.924188,
        "relative_strength": -5.419505,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.304058,
        "energy": 27.831118,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.946803,
          32.810247,
          32.628889,
          32.543309
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 33.723576,
        "volume": 10300,
        "typical_volume": 16155.0,
        "trend": 32.426571,
        "fair_value": 26.999619,
        "relative_strength": -5.307804,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.112831,
        "energy": 38.009458,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.253441,
          33.046746,
          32.729904,
          32.631443
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 33.447796,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 15180.0,
        "trend": 32.483745,
        "fair_value": 27.073462,
        "relative_strength": -4.896718,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.335307,
        "energy": 44.990233,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.38345,
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          32.799924,
          32.697329
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 34.304676,
        "volume": 1800,
        "typical_volume": 13520.0,
        "trend": 32.563739,
        "fair_value": 27.151168,
        "relative_strength": -3.748287,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.261538,
        "energy": 64.858909,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.732111,
          33.399349,
          32.948704,
          32.814808
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 35.08276,
        "volume": 1000,
        "typical_volume": 12965.0,
        "trend": 32.692642,
        "fair_value": 27.238694,
        "relative_strength": -1.511119,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.328039,
        "energy": 77.071918,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.260026,
          33.731772,
          33.163517,
          32.977325
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 34.580002,
        "volume": 2500,
        "typical_volume": 12100.0,
        "trend": 32.782489,
        "fair_value": 27.320134,
        "relative_strength": -2.746685,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.67715,
        "energy": 75.041994,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.45095,
          33.939279,
          33.319198,
          33.099091
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 35.599998,
        "volume": 3100,
        "typical_volume": 11435.0,
        "trend": 32.913092,
        "fair_value": 27.409775,
        "relative_strength": -0.510221,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.375994,
        "energy": 85.743286,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.908362,
          34.31824,
          33.56564,
          33.280865
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 35.099998,
        "volume": 7400,
        "typical_volume": 11080.0,
        "trend": 33.027367,
        "fair_value": 27.492084,
        "relative_strength": -1.903413,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.262974,
        "energy": 81.130699,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.074012,
          34.549075,
          33.755272,
          33.421956
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 34.43,
        "volume": 6600,
        "typical_volume": 10410.0,
        "trend": 33.107147,
        "fair_value": 27.569298,
        "relative_strength": -3.495306,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.111716,
        "energy": 64.805028,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.906183,
          34.609785,
          33.876048,
          33.512449
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 34.5,
        "volume": 9800,
        "typical_volume": 9570.0,
        "trend": 33.187571,
        "fair_value": 27.645852,
        "relative_strength": -3.383077,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.712607,
        "energy": 50.390036,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.753333,
          34.659098,
          34.0023,
          33.60231
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 35.09,
        "volume": 18100,
        "typical_volume": 10010.0,
        "trend": 33.303904,
        "fair_value": 27.729145,
        "relative_strength": -1.18838,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.314076,
        "energy": 46.693174,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.836,
          34.780077,
          34.171695,
          33.725047
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 35.904999,
        "volume": 6500,
        "typical_volume": 9185.0,
        "trend": 33.409737,
        "fair_value": 27.817538,
        "relative_strength": -1.938261,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.686862,
        "energy": 55.523694,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.156333,
          35.019916,
          34.400327,
          33.89286
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}