{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e49f52dc-3c97-460c-af64-b70153934fc3", "symbol": "MAR", "name": "Marriott International, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 67.453, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 3.795, "architecture_energy": 13.411, "architecture_maturity": 60.284, "architecture_confidence": 80.123, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.93, "rotation_up": 13.06, "upward_expansion": 53.15, "deceleration": 93.78, "rotation_down": 34.64, "downward_expansion": 21.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 6382.933268, 6454.121973, 6443.779427, 6333.274787 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 6142.799805, "trend_reference": 6183.75472, "distance_from_trend": -0.006623, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4887.882147, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.256741, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.31894, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.059617, "excess_performance": 0.114284, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.006623, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070958, "read": "Rising" 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5649.861328, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.003182, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.00974, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.143439, "worst_return": -0.128779, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.128078, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.091862, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.220686, "worst_return": 0.006515, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.181389, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.046368, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.232968, "worst_return": -0.053292, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 4887.882147, "relative_strength": 5.31894, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.795317, "energy": 13.411285, "activity_lines": [ 6382.933268, 6454.121973, 6443.779427, 6333.274787 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }