{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e4b2d4f4-9e6b-4c28-8144-687348c3465e", "symbol": "6276", "name": "Antec Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -74.061, "architecture_energy": 67.227, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.406, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.93, "rotation_up": 23.65, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 56.33, "rotation_down": 64.5, "downward_expansion": 87.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.85, 20.693636, 23.433333, 25.873763 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 19.049999, "trend_reference": 29.106666, "distance_from_trend": -0.345511, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 48.225964, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.604985, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -63.031147, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.464135, "excess_performance": -0.905507, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.345511, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.166436, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.604985, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.175282, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.630311, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068267, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.464135, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.587356, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 200114, "relative_activity": 0.603453, "balance": 0.587356, "dry_up": 0.55573, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.137291, "annualized_volatility": 0.523548, "from_high_reference": -0.678209, "from_low_reference": 0.018716 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.106666, "fair_value_reference": 48.225964, "structural_low": 18.700001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.037037, "positive_rate": 0.282051, "directional_follow_through": 0.717949, "median_excess_return": -0.05393, "regime_survival": 0.948718, "best_return": 0.398601, "worst_return": -0.249091, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.166372, "positive_rate": 0.153846, "directional_follow_through": 0.846154, "median_excess_return": -0.221266, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.275387, "worst_return": -0.346484, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.238492, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.190929, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": -0.008982, "worst_return": -0.347962, "sufficient": true }, { 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"gate": "down", "direction": -74.981628, "energy": 68.609977, "activity_lines": [ 20.646667, 21.824546, 24.846667, 27.210215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.4, "volume": 101008, "typical_volume": 345613.95, "trend": 29.76, "fair_value": 48.487799, "relative_strength": -60.341903, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.77102, "energy": 65.050553, "activity_lines": [ 20.393334, 21.317273, 24.163333, 26.564731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 19.049999, "volume": 200114, "typical_volume": 331614.95, "trend": 29.106666, "fair_value": 48.225964, "relative_strength": -63.031147, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.061296, "energy": 67.226925, "activity_lines": [ 19.85, 20.693636, 23.433333, 25.873763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }