{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e4c16ee2-718c-4b21-93e4-1984bb9f0293", "symbol": "F10", "name": "F J Benjamin Holdings Ltd", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.239, "architecture_energy": 62.737, "architecture_maturity": 62.8, "architecture_confidence": 87.454, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.58, "rotation_up": 12.19, "upward_expansion": 13.71, "deceleration": 38.09, "rotation_down": 63.17, "downward_expansion": 84.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.0068, 0.007145, 0.007571, 0.007871 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.007, "trend_reference": 0.008333, "distance_from_trend": -0.16, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.012391, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.435075, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -38.348902, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.222222, "excess_performance": -0.377057, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.16, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.113475, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.435075, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044429, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.383489, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020696, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.222222, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.41414, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 154200, "relative_activity": 0.173034, "balance": 1.41414, "dry_up": 1.119783, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.153846, "annualized_volatility": 0.778716, "from_high_reference": -0.533333, "from_low_reference": 0.166667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.008333, "fair_value_reference": 0.012391, "structural_low": 0.006, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": -0.022615, "regime_survival": 0.897436, "best_return": 0.375, "worst_return": -0.272727, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.058442, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.076592, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.222222, "worst_return": -0.307692, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.095238, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.10478, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.285714, "worst_return": -0.357143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"2024-07-05", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.071429, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.066667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.071429, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.071429, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.307692, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.1, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", 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"relative_strength": -30.374453, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.524296, "energy": 31.103005, "activity_lines": [ 0.0078, 0.007891, 0.008119, 0.008368 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.007, "volume": 1029200, "typical_volume": 814305.0, "trend": 0.008733, "fair_value": 0.012635, "relative_strength": -38.761905, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.175495, "energy": 43.379594, "activity_lines": [ 0.007533, 0.007727, 0.00799, 0.008247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.007, "volume": 1604300, "typical_volume": 859155.0, "trend": 0.008633, "fair_value": 0.012558, "relative_strength": -38.87369, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.463038, "energy": 40.206158, "activity_lines": [ 0.007333, 0.007564, 0.007876, 0.008135 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.006, "volume": 1203900, "typical_volume": 908450.0, "trend": 0.008467, "fair_value": 0.012474, "relative_strength": -47.195839, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.889797, "energy": 64.014871, "activity_lines": [ 0.006867, 0.007236, 0.007671, 0.007966 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.007, "volume": 154200, "typical_volume": 891155.0, "trend": 0.008333, "fair_value": 0.012391, "relative_strength": -38.348902, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.23871, "energy": 62.737247, "activity_lines": [ 0.0068, 0.007145, 0.007571, 0.007871 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }