{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e4c1dcba-57c7-49e3-af6d-ae15a8da545e", "symbol": "AFFLE", "name": "Affle 3i Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 76.147, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 48.311, "architecture_energy": 57.856, "architecture_maturity": 33.092, "architecture_confidence": 60.137, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.65, "rotation_up": 68.46, "upward_expansion": 61.62, "deceleration": 21.25, "rotation_down": 20.83, "downward_expansion": 22.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 1563.553337, 1523.343635, 1492.800944, 1475.278051 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1645.599976, "trend_reference": 1477.663318, "distance_from_trend": 0.11365, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1490.500318, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.104059, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.399307, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.001093, "excess_performance": 0.042616, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.11365, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048241, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.104059, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067094, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.013993, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.11528, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.001093, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.005272, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1458398, "relative_activity": 0.815444, "balance": 1.005272, "dry_up": 1.594769, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061072, "annualized_volatility": 0.32363, "from_high_reference": -0.247175, "from_low_reference": 0.315112 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1477.663318, "fair_value_reference": 1490.500318, "structural_low": 1251.300049, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.047004, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.033628, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.148759, "worst_return": -0.136563, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.055539, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.019879, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.223472, "worst_return": -0.162976, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.031792, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.055339, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.291422, "worst_return": 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"2025-08-29", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.008125, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.074282, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.052845, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.123799, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.149804, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 1082.849976, "volume": 678126, "typical_volume": 1605880.3, "trend": 1006.621676, "fair_value": 1018.017242, "relative_strength": -6.37945, "stage": 1, 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7.775947, "activity_lines": [ 1478.440015, 1471.423637, 1460.742372, 1458.471814 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1586.0, "volume": 6631590, "typical_volume": 1808878.8, "trend": 1482.27332, "fair_value": 1486.817626, "relative_strength": -1.919864, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.116682, "energy": 39.380864, "activity_lines": [ 1515.606681, 1493.37273, 1474.523802, 1464.740848 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1645.599976, "volume": 1458398, "typical_volume": 1788472.1, "trend": 1477.663318, "fair_value": 1490.500318, "relative_strength": 1.399307, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.310592, "energy": 57.856132, "activity_lines": [ 1563.553337, 1523.343635, 1492.800944, 1475.278051 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }