{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e4c4ceb9-ec4e-4af0-97c7-96808f722812", "symbol": "3686", "name": "Danen Technology Corporation", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.481, "architecture_energy": 77.943, "architecture_maturity": 46.719, "architecture_confidence": 84.711, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.6, "rotation_up": 10.38, "upward_expansion": 17.58, "deceleration": 37.52, "rotation_down": 79.23, "downward_expansion": 95.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.733333, 15.410909, 16.230476, 16.816882 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 14.4, "trend_reference": 17.646667, "distance_from_trend": -0.183982, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.850641, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.193306, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -42.957508, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.330233, "excess_performance": -0.771605, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.183982, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045094, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.193306, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.189381, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.429575, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098695, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.330233, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.568783, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 419296, "relative_activity": 0.363416, "balance": 0.568783, "dry_up": 0.512608, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092147, "annualized_volatility": 0.28864, "from_high_reference": -0.4, "from_low_reference": 0.043478 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.646667, "fair_value_reference": 17.850641, "structural_low": 13.8, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.025, "positive_rate": 0.448276, "directional_follow_through": 0.551724, "median_excess_return": -0.01231, "regime_survival": 0.862069, "best_return": 0.274725, "worst_return": -0.265465, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.079076, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.076017, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.162162, "worst_return": -0.257293, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.109034, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.074938, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.150579, "worst_return": -0.341373, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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16.450001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1819931.4, "trend": 18.22, "fair_value": 17.827885, "relative_strength": -37.781853, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.399764, "energy": 44.326752, "activity_lines": [ 16.89, 17.107273, 17.403095, 17.806129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.5, "volume": 1013082, "typical_volume": 1735329.1, "trend": 18.106667, "fair_value": 17.83141, "relative_strength": -37.023107, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.170095, "energy": 60.260556, "activity_lines": [ 16.39, 16.780909, 17.183333, 17.630645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.45, "volume": 556934, "typical_volume": 1410411.25, "trend": 18.015, "fair_value": 17.835577, "relative_strength": -37.997478, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.433712, "energy": 65.161646, "activity_lines": [ 15.993333, 16.483636, 16.980238, 17.459247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.6, "volume": 790569, "typical_volume": 1374926.95, "trend": 17.875, "fair_value": 17.8375, "relative_strength": -39.985853, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.883975, "energy": 75.620991, "activity_lines": [ 15.433333, 16.071818, 16.714048, 17.238925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.7, "volume": 598917, "typical_volume": 1197974.1, "trend": 17.766667, "fair_value": 17.846154, "relative_strength": -40.413501, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.189149, "energy": 75.646383, "activity_lines": [ 15.046667, 15.744546, 16.475952, 17.034086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 14.4, "volume": 419296, "typical_volume": 1153764.6, "trend": 17.646667, "fair_value": 17.850641, "relative_strength": -42.957508, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.480803, "energy": 77.943441, "activity_lines": [ 14.733333, 15.410909, 16.230476, 16.816882 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }