{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e4c6ea2d-23fc-4433-80e7-5bd6548eab5d", "symbol": "MFML", "name": "Mahalaxmi Fabric Mills Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.04, "architecture_energy": 67.681, "architecture_maturity": 21.73, "architecture_confidence": 85.375, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.1, "rotation_up": 11.31, "upward_expansion": 14.51, "deceleration": 39.2, "rotation_down": 72.36, "downward_expansion": 90.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.163333, 19.982182, 21.690809, 22.270495 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 19.549999, "trend_reference": 22.909, "distance_from_trend": -0.146624, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.18549, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.410887, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.335285, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.219249, "excess_performance": -0.17554, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.146624, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069811, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.410887, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.134588, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.213353, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.173522, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.219249, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.77734, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17635, "relative_activity": 0.87432, "balance": 0.77734, "dry_up": 1.390633, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.117332, "annualized_volatility": 0.335282, "from_high_reference": -0.471479, "from_low_reference": 0.130058 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.909, "fair_value_reference": 33.18549, "structural_low": 17.299999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.045103, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.011448, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.077778, "worst_return": -0.01412, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.106481, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.150806, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.106481, "worst_return": 0.106481, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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78.486807, "activity_lines": [ 20.233333, 21.623273, 22.818762, 23.086387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.75, "volume": 36524, "typical_volume": 22393.8, "trend": 23.282667, "fair_value": 33.4645, "relative_strength": -23.260479, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.931175, "energy": 79.085054, "activity_lines": [ 19.495333, 20.897818, 22.395238, 22.780344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.92, "volume": 26684, "typical_volume": 21450.8, "trend": 23.09, "fair_value": 33.320495, "relative_strength": -23.928289, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.416302, "energy": 77.133416, "activity_lines": [ 19.097333, 20.327636, 22.001476, 22.498882 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.549999, "volume": 17635, "typical_volume": 20169.95, "trend": 22.909, "fair_value": 33.18549, "relative_strength": -21.335285, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.039988, "energy": 67.681394, "activity_lines": [ 19.163333, 19.982182, 21.690809, 22.270495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }