{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e4cc855b-290e-4b48-9773-c741b31c10e6",
    "symbol": "PEXL",
    "name": "PACER FDS TR US EXPORT LEADERS ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 44.013,
    "architecture_energy": 26.225,
    "architecture_maturity": 66.273,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.888,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.02,
        "rotation_up": 28.18,
        "upward_expansion": 58.73,
        "deceleration": 88.27,
        "rotation_down": 29.62,
        "downward_expansion": 20.07
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        71.485573,
        72.062422,
        71.415756,
        69.35055
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 72.9731,
    "trend_reference": 66.891542,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.090917,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 52.495257,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.390089,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 3.302352,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.168279,
    "excess_performance": 0.042654,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090917,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06604,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.390089,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018283,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033024,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050669,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.168279,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.83376,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13931,
      "relative_activity": 1.363565,
      "balance": 1.83376,
      "dry_up": 0.819989,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.040015,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.212298,
      "from_high_reference": -0.037802,
      "from_low_reference": 0.375944
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 66.891542,
      "fair_value_reference": 52.495257,
      "structural_low": 56.534777,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.00308,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012694,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.098427,
        "worst_return": -0.090482,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.074065,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024474,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.229017,
        "worst_return": -0.002023,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.067689,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.047432,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.130449,
        "worst_return": -0.012167,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.054078,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.092505,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.233828,
        "worst_return": -0.19446,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-01-19",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.020495,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.039372,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.048631,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.075545,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010989,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.02248,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.036937,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.090253,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.136943,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.03913,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.058069,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.017442,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.03691,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.034843,
        "active": true
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    ],
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        "trend": 60.653206,
        "fair_value": 49.624099,
        "relative_strength": 7.399343,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 49.806731,
        "relative_strength": 6.558396,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 10646.75,
        "trend": 61.467034,
        "fair_value": 50.011228,
        "relative_strength": 8.369283,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 88.560196,
        "energy": 94.948084,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 90.740497,
        "activity_lines": [
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          63.141575
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 10983.25,
        "trend": 62.258839,
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.661004,
        "energy": 92.264937,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 73.761538,
        "volume": 4941,
        "typical_volume": 10502.85,
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        "fair_value": 50.611412,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 71.0557,
        "volume": 31001,
        "typical_volume": 11329.95,
        "trend": 63.183816,
        "fair_value": 50.804001,
        "relative_strength": 8.134254,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.456164,
        "energy": 74.557678,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 73.2008,
        "volume": 11267,
        "typical_volume": 11556.15,
        "trend": 63.70024,
        "fair_value": 50.999593,
        "relative_strength": 10.404702,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.584898,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 51.217344,
        "relative_strength": 12.357611,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 9269,
        "typical_volume": 9980.7,
        "trend": 64.766794,
        "fair_value": 51.406363,
        "relative_strength": 10.524455,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.896252,
        "energy": 63.16425,
        "activity_lines": [
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          68.90191,
          66.965237
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 72.9604,
        "volume": 3559,
        "typical_volume": 9460.25,
        "trend": 65.181995,
        "fair_value": 51.600777,
        "relative_strength": 8.318503,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.023189,
        "energy": 59.781397,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 74.3511,
        "volume": 22571,
        "typical_volume": 10238.1,
        "trend": 65.640231,
        "fair_value": 51.796137,
        "relative_strength": 8.628032,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.205929,
        "energy": 61.075773,
        "activity_lines": [
          73.717993,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 70.5424,
        "volume": 3033,
        "typical_volume": 9814.2,
        "trend": 65.965916,
        "fair_value": 51.966066,
        "relative_strength": 4.477761,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.956092,
        "energy": 42.015902,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.655187,
          72.784761,
          70.574721,
          68.401681
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 69.9726,
        "volume": 2518,
        "typical_volume": 9367.05,
        "trend": 66.240172,
        "fair_value": 52.129764,
        "relative_strength": 4.056452,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.882945,
        "energy": 31.524457,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.579673,
          72.331229,
          70.789926,
          68.660177
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 70.5161,
        "volume": 14028,
        "typical_volume": 9816.8,
        "trend": 66.548249,
        "fair_value": 52.303011,
        "relative_strength": 3.540617,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.745945,
        "energy": 22.34431,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.050713,
          71.967357,
          71.011926,
          68.936043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 72.9731,
        "volume": 13931,
        "typical_volume": 10216.6,
        "trend": 66.891542,
        "fair_value": 52.495257,
        "relative_strength": 3.302352,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.013092,
        "energy": 26.224879,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.485573,
          72.062422,
          71.415756,
          69.35055
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}