{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e4dc9b1a-dbbd-46e4-9cd1-aa97609e4542", "symbol": "IBIJ", "name": "ISHARES TRUST IBONDS OCT 2033 TERM TIPS ETF USD", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "model_version": "ta-0.1.0", "as_of_week": "2026-07-31", "benchmark": "SPY", "history_weeks": 150, "chart_window_weeks": 156, "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "stage_color": "red", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "stage_age_weeks": 4, "hard_stage_exit": false, "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "transition_score": 63.638, "is_transition_watch": true, "confidence": 75.967, "composite_score": 76.963, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_color": "red", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.522, "architecture_energy": 65.457, "architecture_maturity": 31.529, "architecture_confidence": 93.982, "architecture_age_weeks": 10, "is_reacceleration_watch": false, "architecture": { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.522, "energy": 65.457, "maturity": 31.529, "confidence": 93.982, "confirmation": 88.794, "age_weeks": 10, "candidate": null, "candidate_weeks": 0, "hard_reversal": false, "reacceleration_watch": false, "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Activity Lines are bearishly ordered below the 30-week Trend Line, their slopes are negative and price is accepted below the fan. Repair requires contraction and an upward fast/slow rotation\u2014not merely one strong week." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.16, "rotation_up": 25.9, "upward_expansion": 14.2, "deceleration": 41.64, "rotation_down": 54.11, "downward_expansion": 87.54 }, "activity_lines": { "5": 25.255507, "10": 25.295778, "20": 25.416038, "30": 25.560295 }, "activity_slopes": { "5": -0.50178, "10": -0.39311, "20": -0.85889, "30": -0.69887 }, "bullish_order": 0.0, "bearish_order": 1.0, "fan_width_atr": 1.678099, "fan_width_change_4": 0.250108, "fan_width_percentile": 0.711538, "fast_slow_gap_atr": -1.170113, "fast_slow_gap_change_4": 0.331435, "price_acceptance": -0.666667, "current_fan_distance_atr": -0.26982, "accepted_above": 0.0, "accepted_below": 0.666667, "crossing_density": 0.25 }, "interpretation": { "headline": "The primary weekly trend is declining.", "body": "Price below a falling 30-week average with weak relative performance defines the defensive state. Bottom-fishing evidence is kept separate from a confirmed Stage 1 repair.", "phase": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "transition_context": "The evidence score for the next canonical transition is 64/100." }, "latest_close": 25.2065, "sma_30": 25.716403, "distance_from_sma_30": -0.019828, "sma_30_slope": -0.006363, "fair_value": 24.483379, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.029535, "fair_value_gap_change_13": -0.018679, "is_fair_value_repair": false, "mansfield_rs": -10.173346, "mansfield_rs_change_13": -0.370553, "range_position_52": 0.040066, "returns": { "13": -0.014515, "26": -0.027644, "52": -0.006173 }, "relative_returns": { "26": -0.112965, "52": -0.221008 }, "stage_scores": { "1": 65.38, "2": 18.17, "3": 55.42, "4": 81.83 }, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs 30-week average", "positive": false, "value": -0.019828, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "30-week slope", "positive": false, "value": -0.006363, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price 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