{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e4dcdb7c-2815-4175-be6f-1d899e923957", "symbol": "MIRA", "name": "MIRA Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -76.977, "architecture_energy": 66.555, "architecture_maturity": 76.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.673, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.11, "rotation_up": 12.09, "upward_expansion": 12.24, "deceleration": 40.8, "rotation_down": 73.56, "downward_expansion": 87.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.823847, 0.879089, 0.932926, 0.976975 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.74, "trend_reference": 1.055797, "distance_from_trend": -0.299107, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.489584, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.503217, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -47.692824, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.383333, "excess_performance": -0.570787, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.299107, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.1508, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.503217, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.1173, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.476928, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088983, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.383333, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.746754, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1074217, "relative_activity": 1.840197, "balance": 0.746754, "dry_up": 0.866237, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.173118, "annualized_volatility": 0.57488, "from_high_reference": -0.697959, "from_low_reference": 0.233333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.055797, "fair_value_reference": 1.489584, "structural_low": 0.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.016022, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.048388, "regime_survival": 0.9, "best_return": 0.390221, "worst_return": -0.188976, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.16129, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.245515, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.06087, "worst_return": -0.238462, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.080645, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.185277, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.2, "worst_return": -0.36129, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.043478, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.128225, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.043478, "worst_return": 0.043478, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.008696, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.096296, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.445783, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.17341, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.043796, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.403226, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 6.26, "volume": 211099, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 6.38, "volume": 132845, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.457044, "energy": 58.398115, "activity_lines": [ 0.87738, 0.916642, 0.955849, 0.99894 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.74, "volume": 1074217, "typical_volume": 583751.0, "trend": 1.055797, "fair_value": 1.489584, "relative_strength": -47.692824, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.976837, "energy": 66.554537, "activity_lines": [ 0.823847, 0.879089, 0.932926, 0.976975 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }