{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e4ec07c6-e415-4980-9046-334c2bbf6dda",
    "symbol": "HOUR",
    "name": "Hour Loop Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 59.427,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -18.088,
    "architecture_energy": 17.768,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.131,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.226,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 58.33,
        "rotation_up": 27.06,
        "upward_expansion": 12.12,
        "deceleration": 48.02,
        "rotation_down": 43.98,
        "downward_expansion": 49.12
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.888,
        1.904455,
        1.951452,
        1.952548
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 1.94,
    "trend_reference": 1.936833,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.001635,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1.641546,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.181813,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -18.30226,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.077778,
    "excess_performance": -0.109676,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001635,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005647,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.181813,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.297223,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.183023,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.21087,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077778,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.228479,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 66682,
      "relative_activity": 0.18505,
      "balance": 1.228479,
      "dry_up": 0.399815,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.172141,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.693939,
      "from_high_reference": -0.716374,
      "from_low_reference": 0.564516
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.936833,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.641546,
      "structural_low": 1.6706,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.146497,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.080061,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.038889,
        "worst_return": -0.210145,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.297101,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.346471,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.26087,
        "worst_return": -0.333333,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.108264,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.212197,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.036159,
        "worst_return": -0.252688,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.170726,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021355,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.202899,
        "worst_return": 0.138554,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.297101,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.262718,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.117109,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.342657,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.322581,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.073171,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.424242,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 1.119628,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.398329,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.174107,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.016216,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "color": "teal",
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        "return": 0.021277,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.019417,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.015707,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 1.65,
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        "typical_volume": 2155390.75,
        "trend": 1.938883,
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 250664.2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 251162.0,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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          1.966301
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 302854.45,
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        "relative_strength": -22.263261,
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 855146,
        "typical_volume": 340484.65,
        "trend": 1.94,
        "fair_value": 1.635359,
        "relative_strength": -13.662975,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 19.51276,
        "energy": 7.738942,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.958667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1.905,
        "volume": 251125,
        "typical_volume": 350804.75,
        "trend": 1.937833,
        "fair_value": 1.637123,
        "relative_strength": -17.359641,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 19.471893,
        "energy": 10.597688,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.943667,
          1.942909,
          1.982857,
          1.966602
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.87,
        "volume": 101590,
        "typical_volume": 353718.15,
        "trend": 1.936167,
        "fair_value": 1.638726,
        "relative_strength": -17.274697,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -8.105442,
        "energy": 6.278624,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.912667,
          1.927545,
          1.972643,
          1.962226
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.78,
        "volume": 156890,
        "typical_volume": 358700.55,
        "trend": 1.933833,
        "fair_value": 1.639687,
        "relative_strength": -21.442663,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.877826,
        "energy": 10.219396,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.873,
          1.899273,
          1.954143,
          1.952151
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.94,
        "volume": 66682,
        "typical_volume": 360346.1,
        "trend": 1.936833,
        "fair_value": 1.641546,
        "relative_strength": -18.30226,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -18.08832,
        "energy": 17.768357,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.888,
          1.904455,
          1.951452,
          1.952548
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}