{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e4f63fa9-e703-44f9-acae-eb82b458f900",
    "symbol": "EWO",
    "name": "ISHARES INC MSCI AUSTRIA ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.002,
    "architecture_energy": 57.724,
    "architecture_maturity": 67.62,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.875,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.46,
        "rotation_up": 55.73,
        "upward_expansion": 82.19,
        "deceleration": 66.47,
        "rotation_down": 26.19,
        "downward_expansion": 8.85
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        42.733053,
        42.424339,
        41.262302,
        40.021089
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 43.96,
    "trend_reference": 38.646627,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.137486,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 25.968679,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.692808,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.238732,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.169493,
    "excess_performance": 0.043868,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.137486,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084206,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.692808,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060275,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102387,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027216,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.169493,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.248962,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 886420,
      "relative_activity": 4.1763,
      "balance": 1.248962,
      "dry_up": 2.41025,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.038007,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.235823,
      "from_high_reference": -0.012135,
      "from_low_reference": 0.483344
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 38.646627,
      "fair_value_reference": 25.968679,
      "structural_low": 32.892629,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 36,
        "median_return": 0.012274,
        "positive_rate": 0.611111,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.611111,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009005,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.133589,
        "worst_return": -0.221077,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.035772,
        "positive_rate": 0.785714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.785714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011719,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.213718,
        "worst_return": -0.19645,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.046119,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037591,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.270502,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.235083,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 10.491939,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 203288.1,
        "trend": 37.872108,
        "fair_value": 25.489719,
        "relative_strength": 9.956042,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.101081,
        "energy": 61.627149,
        "activity_lines": [
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          39.124422
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 41.8004,
        "volume": 237903,
        "typical_volume": 195635.45,
        "trend": 38.111864,
        "fair_value": 25.641711,
        "relative_strength": 10.436431,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.706947,
        "energy": 54.373776,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 42.48,
        "volume": 112517,
        "typical_volume": 187022.3,
        "trend": 38.358093,
        "fair_value": 25.799826,
        "relative_strength": 10.595317,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.752452,
        "energy": 51.086824,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.151233,
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          40.828923,
          39.659675
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 43.96,
        "volume": 886420,
        "typical_volume": 212250.1,
        "trend": 38.646627,
        "fair_value": 25.968679,
        "relative_strength": 10.238732,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.001985,
        "energy": 57.723814,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}