{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e50b60f0-4529-4a3f-b093-5ac131a9c667", "symbol": "HPE", "name": "Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.927, "architecture_energy": 53.655, "architecture_maturity": 68.7, "architecture_confidence": 89.924, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.74, "rotation_up": 60.01, "upward_expansion": 83.27, "deceleration": 63.39, "rotation_down": 23.15, "downward_expansion": 7.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 49.396667, 47.729683, 43.640533, 38.887278 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 53.22, "trend_reference": 32.967452, "distance_from_trend": 0.61432, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 21.276794, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.501317, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 67.287979, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.274248, "excess_performance": 1.148624, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.61432, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.328041, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.501317, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.838097, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.67288, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.415206, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.274248, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.833563, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 91536382, "relative_activity": 0.827537, "balance": 1.833563, "dry_up": 0.761731, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.141596, "annualized_volatility": 0.483559, "from_high_reference": -0.169233, "from_low_reference": 1.710575 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.967452, "fair_value_reference": 21.276794, "structural_low": 19.664488, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.00282, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.009981, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.506475, "worst_return": -0.13254, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.010326, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.043077, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.681522, "worst_return": -0.328209, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.066815, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.110663, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.160322, "worst_return": -0.257881, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 112206282.3, "trend": 31.127787, "fair_value": 20.836262, "relative_strength": 62.097211, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.57614, "energy": 49.338952, "activity_lines": [ 46.234667, 45.965409, 40.947397, 36.431388 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.9, "volume": 84546979, "typical_volume": 109961594.55, "trend": 31.925914, "fair_value": 21.040159, "relative_strength": 58.553831, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.451187, "energy": 49.274264, "activity_lines": [ 47.068667, 46.458731, 42.103753, 37.513466 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 53.22, "volume": 91536382, "typical_volume": 110612994.75, "trend": 32.967452, "fair_value": 21.276794, "relative_strength": 67.287979, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.927425, "energy": 53.654747, "activity_lines": [ 49.396667, 47.729683, 43.640533, 38.887278 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }