{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e5177634-370d-4eff-ab69-764cc784f76b", "symbol": "GS", "name": "The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.352, "architecture_energy": 38.213, "architecture_maturity": 84.752, "architecture_confidence": 50.625, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.39, "rotation_up": 41.38, "upward_expansion": 67.22, "deceleration": 65.46, "rotation_down": 26.34, "downward_expansion": 17.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 912.919991, 916.839996, 890.30392, 856.122466 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 900.799988, "trend_reference": 820.286039, "distance_from_trend": 0.098154, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 540.210932, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.667497, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.630201, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.170882, "excess_performance": -0.003365, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.098154, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087122, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.667497, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055213, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.026302, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017964, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.170882, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.68059, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 210, "relative_activity": 3.271028, "balance": 1.68059, "dry_up": 3.021807, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054727, "annualized_volatility": 0.274149, "from_high_reference": -0.105462, "from_low_reference": 0.500112 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 820.286039, "fair_value_reference": 540.210932, "structural_low": 678.525038, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": 0.024423, "positive_rate": 0.675676, "directional_follow_through": 0.675676, "median_excess_return": 0.018337, "regime_survival": 0.810811, "best_return": 0.166819, "worst_return": -0.199788, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.086081, "positive_rate": 0.785714, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": 0.018404, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.249598, "worst_return": -0.255498, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.170882, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.003365, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.2743, "worst_return": -0.069672, "sufficient": 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850.715279 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 900.799988, "volume": 210, "typical_volume": 64.2, "trend": 820.286039, "fair_value": 540.210932, "relative_strength": -2.630201, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.352297, "energy": 38.213267, "activity_lines": [ 912.919991, 916.839996, 890.30392, 856.122466 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }