{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e51b3ae3-6293-470d-ae9f-49cae0ad42b1",
    "symbol": "ACDC",
    "name": "ProFrac Holding Corp.",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -65.183,
    "architecture_energy": 69.89,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.858,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.26,
        "rotation_up": 9.75,
        "upward_expansion": 15.52,
        "deceleration": 37.8,
        "rotation_down": 76.56,
        "downward_expansion": 93.52
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        4.837636,
        5.600238,
        5.782796
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 4.32,
    "trend_reference": 5.808333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.256241,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.867372,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.370938,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -24.441079,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.195531,
    "excess_performance": -0.382984,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.256241,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088382,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.370938,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.270338,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.244411,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.232939,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.195531,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.511426,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 12545194,
      "relative_activity": 1.762125,
      "balance": 0.511426,
      "dry_up": 1.248174,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.265436,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.706922,
      "from_high_reference": -0.474453,
      "from_low_reference": 0.402597
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.808333,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.867372,
      "structural_low": 3.51,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.07173,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.145608,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.07173,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.681435,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.460448,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.681435,
        "worst_return": 0.681435,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.227848,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.528102,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.227848,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.110735,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.240506,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
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        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.05668,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.268085,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.033755,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": -0.128962,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.553594,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "energy": 61.08561,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 7.959127,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 26.697076,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 10.871495,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 4498033,
        "typical_volume": 6932957.0,
        "trend": 5.725333,
        "fair_value": 7.116218,
        "relative_strength": -15.463609,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -4.409215,
        "energy": 12.501556,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 4.92,
        "volume": 6602185,
        "typical_volume": 6981326.75,
        "trend": 5.750667,
        "fair_value": 7.068846,
        "relative_strength": -19.286683,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.72763,
        "energy": 31.158397,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.492,
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          6.317,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 4.8,
        "volume": 7743786,
        "typical_volume": 7133986.9,
        "trend": 5.783667,
        "fair_value": 7.019038,
        "relative_strength": -16.445637,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -28.706401,
        "energy": 47.887794,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.124,
          5.747091,
          6.17419,
          6.090215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 4.26,
        "volume": 6415649,
        "typical_volume": 7091852.2,
        "trend": 5.800667,
        "fair_value": 6.966923,
        "relative_strength": -23.311801,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -46.838553,
        "energy": 62.955229,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.759333,
          5.398182,
          5.980667,
          5.991914
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.04,
        "volume": 8840156,
        "typical_volume": 6960544.95,
        "trend": 5.800667,
        "fair_value": 6.911859,
        "relative_strength": -26.640178,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -46.075213,
        "energy": 65.082957,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.442,
          5.064182,
          5.771619,
          5.878323
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.32,
        "volume": 12545194,
        "typical_volume": 7119356.95,
        "trend": 5.808333,
        "fair_value": 6.867372,
        "relative_strength": -24.441079,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.18256,
        "energy": 69.88982,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.337333,
          4.837636,
          5.600238,
          5.782796
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}