{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e526d11e-b822-489e-b190-2e890999cf65", "symbol": "VLG", "name": "Venture Life Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 39.144, "architecture_energy": 66.549, "architecture_maturity": 16.084, "architecture_confidence": 64.718, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.82, "rotation_up": 72.44, "upward_expansion": 65.06, "deceleration": 21.78, "rotation_down": 17.12, "downward_expansion": 23.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.6912, 0.682327, 0.653336, 0.651576 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.688, "trend_reference": 0.654583, "distance_from_trend": 0.05105, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.48134, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.429344, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.109345, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.010072, "excess_performance": -0.061307, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.05105, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029354, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.429344, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.237068, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.011093, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.161732, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.010072, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.49324, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 596612, "relative_activity": 0.602313, "balance": 7.49324, "dry_up": 1.266344, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035152, "annualized_volatility": 0.310554, "from_high_reference": -0.044444, "from_low_reference": 0.323077 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.654583, "fair_value_reference": 0.48134, "structural_low": 0.54, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.06993, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.038466, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.308642, "worst_return": -0.012195, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.097902, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.097452, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.231707, "worst_return": 0.088235, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.316176, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.245998, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.390244, "worst_return": 0.041958, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.088235, 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"2024-12-06", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.107383, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.012195, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.113208, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.033613, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.101215, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"2026-07-10", "close": 0.665, "volume": 992514, "typical_volume": 891526.2, "trend": 0.650167, "fair_value": 0.471901, "relative_strength": 1.087544, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.833757, "energy": 47.204726, "activity_lines": [ 0.664667, 0.645455, 0.63256, 0.640801 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.695, "volume": 1130702, "typical_volume": 913877.45, "trend": 0.65125, "fair_value": 0.474272, "relative_strength": 4.65765, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 43.584228, "energy": 59.792031, "activity_lines": [ 0.674667, 0.658727, 0.637952, 0.643694 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.695, "volume": 1958916, "typical_volume": 968813.8, "trend": 0.652583, "fair_value": 0.476596, "relative_strength": 3.315095, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.752577, "energy": 61.358483, "activity_lines": [ 0.683, 0.669273, 0.643333, 0.646516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.697, "volume": 1331203, "typical_volume": 1006778.75, "trend": 0.653983, "fair_value": 0.478933, "relative_strength": 2.462102, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.967111, "energy": 67.625666, "activity_lines": [ 0.689667, 0.677818, 0.648786, 0.649382 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.688, "volume": 596612, "typical_volume": 990535.1, "trend": 0.654583, "fair_value": 0.48134, "relative_strength": 1.109345, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.144074, "energy": 66.548708, "activity_lines": [ 0.6912, 0.682327, 0.653336, 0.651576 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }