{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e529525e-3d94-4aaa-89cf-056675014511", "symbol": "FPXR", "name": "Fidelity Pacific ex-Japan Equity Research Enhanced UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 83.12, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 90.863, "architecture_energy": 96.442, "architecture_maturity": 35.584, "architecture_confidence": 62.137, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.72, "rotation_up": 89.5, "upward_expansion": 100.0, "deceleration": 39.0, "rotation_down": 8.02, "downward_expansion": 22.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.608733, 6.487273, 6.3889, 6.337871 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 6.708, "trend_reference": 6.270367, "distance_from_trend": 0.069794, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.465179, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.227407, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.371436, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.089492, "excess_performance": -0.0814, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.069794, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033679, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.227407, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049019, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.053714, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007624, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.089492, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 108.659574, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 63, "relative_activity": 0.013654, "balance": 108.659574, "dry_up": 0.04134, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.014025, "annualized_volatility": 0.129264, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.181818 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.270367, "fair_value_reference": 5.465179, "structural_low": 5.923, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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4698.4, "trend": 6.169633, "fair_value": 5.418756, "relative_strength": -9.030523, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.431195, "energy": 58.413224, "activity_lines": [ 6.298533, 6.281073, 6.262833, 6.237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.477, "volume": 63, "typical_volume": 4690.6, "trend": 6.1939, "fair_value": 5.429381, "relative_strength": -5.918808, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.212666, "energy": 80.196676, "activity_lines": [ 6.3698, 6.317709, 6.284467, 6.25683 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.535, "volume": 322, "typical_volume": 4654.6, "trend": 6.216333, "fair_value": 5.440378, "relative_strength": -4.760189, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.653824, "energy": 89.55548, "activity_lines": [ 6.434467, 6.3614, 6.311267, 6.278837 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.667, "volume": 315, "typical_volume": 4652.9, "trend": 6.243633, "fair_value": 5.452647, "relative_strength": -3.339819, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.416553, "energy": 96.217335, "activity_lines": [ 6.5272, 6.424109, 6.349186, 6.307912 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.708, "volume": 63, "typical_volume": 4614.2, "trend": 6.270367, "fair_value": 5.465179, "relative_strength": -5.371436, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.862705, "energy": 96.442315, "activity_lines": [ 6.608733, 6.487273, 6.3889, 6.337871 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }