{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e52fc838-0dd7-4993-8f9e-33ee811a8922", "symbol": "LIGS", "name": "Amundi STOXX Europe 600 Industrials UCITS ETF Acc", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.357, "architecture_energy": 56.021, "architecture_maturity": 20.577, "architecture_confidence": 89.133, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.26, "rotation_up": 56.2, "upward_expansion": 80.6, "deceleration": 53.56, "rotation_down": 19.71, "downward_expansion": 9.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 153.854665, 152.831999, 150.807809, 149.108086 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 158.339996, "trend_reference": 147.800001, "distance_from_trend": 0.071313, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 130.584641, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.212547, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.071464, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.06655, "excess_performance": 0.00191, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.071313, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031825, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.212547, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056842, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.020715, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032115, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.06655, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.354604, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3150, "relative_activity": 2.574055, "balance": 2.354604, "dry_up": 1.410419, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029158, "annualized_volatility": 0.219407, "from_high_reference": -0.008268, "from_low_reference": 0.21259 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 147.800001, "fair_value_reference": 130.584641, "structural_low": 130.580002, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.021108, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.000627, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.043853, "worst_return": -0.130219, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.013322, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.042558, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.013322, "worst_return": -0.013322, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.110544, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.060014, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.110544, "worst_return": 0.110544, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.248655, "energy": 32.863602, "activity_lines": [ 150.922666, 150.872363, 149.058286, 147.959054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 153.940002, "volume": 525, "typical_volume": 1122.55, "trend": 147.448668, "fair_value": 130.33232, "relative_strength": 2.056994, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.224154, "energy": 32.451807, "activity_lines": [ 151.787999, 151.510909, 149.754286, 148.40542 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 158.339996, "volume": 3150, "typical_volume": 1223.75, "trend": 147.800001, "fair_value": 130.584641, "relative_strength": 2.071464, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.357009, "energy": 56.021454, "activity_lines": [ 153.854665, 152.831999, 150.807809, 149.108086 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }