{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e5318c0a-f589-4bf4-a8f6-8438c46a6333", "symbol": "EIOF", "name": "Eidesvik Offshore ASA", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 74.178, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 32.498, "architecture_energy": 22.048, "architecture_maturity": 37.2, "architecture_confidence": 55.936, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.72, "rotation_up": 49.88, "upward_expansion": 59.5, "deceleration": 66.62, "rotation_down": 12.68, "downward_expansion": 14.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.86, 15.609091, 15.845622, 15.718881 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 15.9, "trend_reference": 15.234113, "distance_from_trend": 0.04371, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.695567, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.16096, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.082029, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.237551, "excess_performance": 0.112557, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.04371, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075696, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.16096, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.132831, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.01082, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.118241, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.237551, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.092038, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 72925, "relative_activity": 0.842401, "balance": 0.092038, "dry_up": 0.415315, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064586, "annualized_volatility": 0.232618, "from_high_reference": -0.116667, "from_low_reference": 0.31332 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.234113, "fair_value_reference": 13.695567, "structural_low": 12.798537, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.019273, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.005524, "regime_survival": 0.5625, "best_return": 0.253731, "worst_return": -0.18448, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.096909, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.106537, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.325301, "worst_return": -0.211477, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.017569, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.033375, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.380723, "worst_return": -0.222637, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-10-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.085562, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.0625, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.063492, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.029281, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.039062, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.032258, "active": false }, { 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13.600656, "relative_strength": 3.826242, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.569735, "energy": 13.305487, "activity_lines": [ 15.306667, 15.455455, 15.855377, 15.54519 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.55, "volume": 35267, "typical_volume": 101146.25, "trend": 14.995916, "fair_value": 13.631148, "relative_strength": -0.312991, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.169813, "energy": 11.773685, "activity_lines": [ 15.426667, 15.426364, 15.825319, 15.588023 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.25, "volume": 22460, "typical_volume": 91574.2, "trend": 15.125789, "fair_value": 13.66454, "relative_strength": 3.632875, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.251938, "energy": 20.107229, "activity_lines": [ 15.743333, 15.546364, 15.85612, 15.668932 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.9, "volume": 72925, "typical_volume": 86568.05, "trend": 15.234113, "fair_value": 13.695567, "relative_strength": 1.082029, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.497758, "energy": 22.047582, "activity_lines": [ 15.86, 15.609091, 15.845622, 15.718881 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }