{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e53cabcf-7f3f-4e21-ad29-9c0b24e5d65e", "symbol": "300740", "name": "SYoung Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 48.853, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.243, "architecture_energy": 38.152, "architecture_maturity": 12.203, "architecture_confidence": 81.816, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.66, "rotation_up": 15.79, "upward_expansion": 3.91, "deceleration": 50.05, "rotation_down": 55.31, "downward_expansion": 74.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.571333, 19.798164, 21.283994, 21.73738 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 21.549999, "trend_reference": 22.42681, "distance_from_trend": -0.039097, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.297604, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.245837, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.823164, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.055239, "excess_performance": -0.062639, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.039097, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012144, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.245837, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.33317, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.048232, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10799, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.055239, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.041202, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 126391656, "relative_activity": 1.829121, "balance": 1.041202, "dry_up": 2.185326, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.140291, "annualized_volatility": 0.697066, "from_high_reference": -0.235891, "from_low_reference": 0.421504 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.42681, "fair_value_reference": 17.297604, "structural_low": 15.16, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.022599, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": -0.00142, "regime_survival": 0.631579, "best_return": 0.225126, "worst_return": -0.175449, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.121259, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.093379, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.396552, "worst_return": -0.22866, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.073907, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.158399, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.870279, "worst_return": -0.158451, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"direction": -63.946363, "energy": 55.602228, "activity_lines": [ 20.648002, 21.737506, 22.519029, 22.699611 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 16.950001, "volume": 158900011, "typical_volume": 55389813.2, "trend": 22.723811, "fair_value": 17.210442, "relative_strength": -22.145143, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.109464, "energy": 71.694911, "activity_lines": [ 19.36317, 20.658788, 21.980532, 22.31814 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.01, "volume": 129436277, "typical_volume": 58712244.2, "trend": 22.554811, "fair_value": 17.22559, "relative_strength": -22.004685, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.755347, "energy": 65.946926, "activity_lines": [ 18.375323, 19.764985, 21.483083, 21.949507 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.219999, "volume": 189293412, "typical_volume": 65298276.15, "trend": 22.503144, "fair_value": 17.259914, "relative_strength": -5.910589, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.123043, "energy": 58.358734, "activity_lines": [ 18.833333, 19.613435, 21.318634, 21.798874 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.549999, "volume": 126391656, "typical_volume": 69099670.25, "trend": 22.42681, "fair_value": 17.297604, "relative_strength": -4.823164, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.243296, "energy": 38.151714, "activity_lines": [ 19.571333, 19.798164, 21.283994, 21.73738 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }