{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e541629c-7dee-4e96-a8ea-46a26683306d",
    "symbol": "4164",
    "name": "CHC Healthcare Group",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -60.388,
    "architecture_energy": 67.167,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.548,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.175,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.3,
        "rotation_up": 10.61,
        "upward_expansion": 14.92,
        "deceleration": 37.58,
        "rotation_down": 69.1,
        "downward_expansion": 88.25
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        26.45,
        27.26798,
        27.823956,
        28.361025
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 26.6,
    "trend_reference": 29.371265,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.094353,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 42.750581,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.377786,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -47.453167,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.148408,
    "excess_performance": -0.58978,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.094353,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.095727,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.377786,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023692,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.474532,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066271,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.148408,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.736642,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2398400,
      "relative_activity": 0.622317,
      "balance": 1.736642,
      "dry_up": 0.633828,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.065434,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.231211,
      "from_high_reference": -0.471622,
      "from_low_reference": 0.061876
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 29.371265,
      "fair_value_reference": 42.750581,
      "structural_low": 25.049999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": -0.008479,
        "positive_rate": 0.454545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026221,
        "regime_survival": 0.772727,
        "best_return": 0.316959,
        "worst_return": -0.127894,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.03863,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.044824,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.207143,
        "worst_return": -0.17047,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.055314,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.027431,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.445652,
        "worst_return": -0.174274,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.132598,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.032612,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.402751,
        "worst_return": -0.151365,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "return": 0.110454,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.053763,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.032529,
        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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    ],
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      {
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 4380978.25,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 39.645978,
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          27.882818,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 26.049999,
        "volume": 2733299,
        "typical_volume": 4325174.6,
        "trend": 29.963285,
        "fair_value": 43.105442,
        "relative_strength": -47.68454,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.683067,
        "energy": 68.432367,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.15,
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          28.230436,
          28.806999
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.1,
        "volume": 2888026,
        "typical_volume": 3976101.0,
        "trend": 29.649316,
        "fair_value": 42.919494,
        "relative_strength": -47.748444,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.663637,
        "energy": 73.675049,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.596666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 26.6,
        "volume": 2398400,
        "typical_volume": 3853987.25,
        "trend": 29.371265,
        "fair_value": 42.750581,
        "relative_strength": -47.453167,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.388018,
        "energy": 67.166623,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.45,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}