{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e5602265-8469-4af8-9eae-c5163a4a1388", "symbol": "281990", "name": "KB Asset Management Co., Ltd - Mid Small Cap High Dividend ETF Fund", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 64.446, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -39.862, "architecture_energy": 23.907, "architecture_maturity": 15.1, "architecture_confidence": 63.898, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.75, "rotation_up": 20.8, "upward_expansion": 13.8, "deceleration": 62.79, "rotation_down": 37.66, "downward_expansion": 61.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 17515.157682, 17461.710724, 17977.523521, 18200.837756 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 17885.0, "trend_reference": 18256.735352, "distance_from_trend": -0.020362, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12903.637432, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.386043, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.336985, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.039967, "excess_performance": -0.189862, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.020362, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041236, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.386043, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.275972, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.14337, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.164486, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.039967, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.140193, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3388, "relative_activity": 0.33556, "balance": 0.140193, "dry_up": 0.347124, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068299, "annualized_volatility": 0.323744, "from_high_reference": -0.143028, "from_low_reference": 0.301966 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18256.735352, "fair_value_reference": 12903.637432, "structural_low": 16119.549237, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.016586, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.002642, "regime_survival": 0.4375, "best_return": 0.171382, "worst_return": -0.118008, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.034691, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.014099, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.367175, "worst_return": -0.109718, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.04512, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.063483, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.333916, "worst_return": 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"modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.375296, "energy": 25.573625, "activity_lines": [ 17378.172005, 17495.971449, 18151.291927, 18279.718576 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17170.0, "volume": 4868, "typical_volume": 11969.55, "trend": 18172.04043, "fair_value": 12858.151787, "relative_strength": -22.721735, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.340946, "energy": 25.150399, "activity_lines": [ 17355.027344, 17396.750177, 18028.39083, 18219.356494 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17885.0, "volume": 3388, "typical_volume": 10096.55, "trend": 18256.735352, "fair_value": 12903.637432, "relative_strength": -14.336985, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.861957, "energy": 23.906716, "activity_lines": [ 17515.157682, 17461.710724, 17977.523521, 18200.837756 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }