{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e56bcd38-0de2-440c-9687-94722cab20c7",
    "symbol": "GYT",
    "name": "Goodyear (Thailand) Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 57.006,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 36.807,
    "architecture_energy": 63.404,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.402,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.025,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.68,
        "rotation_up": 77.13,
        "upward_expansion": 60.14,
        "deceleration": 13.93,
        "rotation_down": 14.64,
        "downward_expansion": 28.14
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        185.1,
        184.1,
        182.200299,
        182.258329
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 185.5,
    "trend_reference": 184.573133,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.005022,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 169.039076,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.097379,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -12.946865,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.053756,
    "excess_performance": -0.246081,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005022,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000397,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097379,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027788,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.129469,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024051,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.053756,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.105263,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 100,
      "relative_activity": 0.137931,
      "balance": 4.105263,
      "dry_up": 2.896552,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.009745,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.250088,
      "from_high_reference": -0.156609,
      "from_low_reference": 0.071713
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 184.573133,
      "fair_value_reference": 169.039076,
      "structural_low": 173.087432,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.001135,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.023845,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.038235,
        "worst_return": -0.047368,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.01579,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.028511,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.052941,
        "worst_return": -0.088398,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.011139,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.091439,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.113958,
        "worst_return": -0.097713,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.008998,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.087596,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.055556,
        "worst_return": -0.03756,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.064364,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.011299,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.027778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.023936,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.043478,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.083333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.037189,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005587,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.019444,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010929,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008152,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 179.071991,
        "volume": 10100,
        "typical_volume": 2905.0,
        "trend": 163.076057,
        "fair_value": 176.077833,
        "relative_strength": 16.56342,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.712221,
        "energy": 81.574285,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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        "typical_volume": 3090.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-01",
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        "typical_volume": 3195.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
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        "typical_volume": 3040.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-29",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2023-11-03",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-11-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-12-01",
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        "date": "2023-12-15",
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        "date": "2023-12-22",
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        "stage": 1,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        "date": "2024-01-05",
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        "fair_value": 173.041277,
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        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      {
        "date": "2024-01-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2024-01-19",
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        "typical_volume": 3560.0,
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      {
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          184.107469,
          184.743817
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 182.5,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 2620.0,
        "trend": 184.095631,
        "fair_value": 167.252372,
        "relative_strength": -13.557542,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -22.092391,
        "energy": 27.312428,
        "activity_lines": [
          177.882514,
          177.49379,
          183.692429,
          184.632324
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 179.0,
        "volume": 1500,
        "typical_volume": 2515.0,
        "trend": 184.213026,
        "fair_value": 167.353695,
        "relative_strength": -15.35193,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -18.392205,
        "energy": 22.191619,
        "activity_lines": [
          178.52459,
          177.493542,
          182.949324,
          184.303574
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 178.0,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 2535.0,
        "trend": 184.28115,
        "fair_value": 167.462744,
        "relative_strength": -16.523612,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.981085,
        "energy": 27.008402,
        "activity_lines": [
          178.630419,
          177.673423,
          182.132917,
          183.902733
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 180.0,
        "volume": 600,
        "typical_volume": 2515.0,
        "trend": 184.463754,
        "fair_value": 167.576131,
        "relative_strength": -16.358528,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.180464,
        "energy": 23.425997,
        "activity_lines": [
          179.266667,
          178.197168,
          181.533685,
          183.62653
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 180.0,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 2490.0,
        "trend": 184.646359,
        "fair_value": 167.672555,
        "relative_strength": -17.531212,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.140543,
        "energy": 34.005242,
        "activity_lines": [
          179.633333,
          178.664779,
          180.974395,
          183.338546
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 180.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2175.0,
        "trend": 184.828963,
        "fair_value": 167.768979,
        "relative_strength": -17.829991,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.178951,
        "energy": 52.933052,
        "activity_lines": [
          179.666667,
          179.058867,
          180.468709,
          183.038781
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 180.0,
        "volume": 500,
        "typical_volume": 2095.0,
        "trend": 184.740621,
        "fair_value": 167.873884,
        "relative_strength": -17.82769,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.308525,
        "energy": 49.474386,
        "activity_lines": [
          179.866667,
          179.379434,
          180.053058,
          182.727235
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 182.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2005.0,
        "trend": 184.750821,
        "fair_value": 168.008574,
        "relative_strength": -15.292194,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -24.724376,
        "energy": 35.887492,
        "activity_lines": [
          180.666667,
          179.990114,
          179.913362,
          182.550421
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 182.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1880.0,
        "trend": 184.745084,
        "fair_value": 168.157401,
        "relative_strength": -13.177653,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -18.010416,
        "energy": 29.275347,
        "activity_lines": [
          181.2,
          180.490909,
          179.835961,
          182.372948
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 183.5,
        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 1655.0,
        "trend": 184.805284,
        "fair_value": 168.307361,
        "relative_strength": -15.763486,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 6.667427,
        "energy": 23.972148,
        "activity_lines": [
          182.1,
          181.154545,
          179.968267,
          182.29262
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 183.0,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 1405.0,
        "trend": 184.785065,
        "fair_value": 168.454116,
        "relative_strength": -16.049494,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 3.73816,
        "energy": 26.411082,
        "activity_lines": [
          182.6,
          181.572727,
          180.112659,
          182.176151
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 185.0,
        "volume": 2700,
        "typical_volume": 785.0,
        "trend": 184.831513,
        "fair_value": 168.622173,
        "relative_strength": -15.678281,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 18.410122,
        "energy": 34.514929,
        "activity_lines": [
          183.566667,
          182.345455,
          180.60069,
          182.190017
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 184.0,
        "volume": 1300,
        "typical_volume": 635.0,
        "trend": 184.844627,
        "fair_value": 168.78382,
        "relative_strength": -15.968527,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 7.333652,
        "energy": 30.014401,
        "activity_lines": [
          183.866667,
          182.827273,
          181.059706,
          182.136371
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 186.0,
        "volume": 4300,
        "typical_volume": 780.0,
        "trend": 184.765028,
        "fair_value": 168.958288,
        "relative_strength": -13.683346,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 24.973205,
        "energy": 54.796034,
        "activity_lines": [
          184.7,
          183.563636,
          181.675449,
          182.210911
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 185.5,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 725.0,
        "trend": 184.573133,
        "fair_value": 169.039076,
        "relative_strength": -12.946865,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 36.806782,
        "energy": 63.404244,
        "activity_lines": [
          185.1,
          184.1,
          182.200299,
          182.258329
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}