{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e57ff486-43cc-4a03-9f60-4935d8f99597",
    "symbol": "CY4",
    "name": "Cy4gate S.p.A.",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.87,
    "architecture_energy": 45.166,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.181,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.856,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.84,
        "rotation_up": 49.07,
        "upward_expansion": 77.17,
        "deceleration": 68.22,
        "rotation_down": 24.08,
        "downward_expansion": 6.17
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        9.722667,
        9.591636,
        9.15419,
        8.716667
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 10.2,
    "trend_reference": 8.231667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.239117,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.323365,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.613065,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 18.109405,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.391542,
    "excess_performance": 0.22065,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.239117,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08378,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.613065,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.217837,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.181094,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024878,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.391542,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.936788,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 615013,
      "relative_activity": 2.480226,
      "balance": 2.936788,
      "dry_up": 1.620985,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.087255,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.400954,
      "from_high_reference": -0.081081,
      "from_low_reference": 1.116183
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.231667,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.323365,
      "structural_low": 6.68,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.049383,
        "positive_rate": 0.692308,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.692308,
        "median_excess_return": 0.032539,
        "regime_survival": 0.692308,
        "best_return": 0.23301,
        "worst_return": -0.089263,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.036999,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.062877,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.584466,
        "worst_return": -0.163107,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.135468,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04799,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.218447,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.374757,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 6.288686,
        "relative_strength": 18.291653,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 227363.1,
        "trend": 8.054,
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        "relative_strength": 9.895563,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.385015,
        "energy": 42.37612,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 439868,
        "typical_volume": 236247.95,
        "trend": 8.092667,
        "fair_value": 6.300737,
        "relative_strength": 13.660285,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.627327,
        "energy": 33.158388,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.81,
        "volume": 306927,
        "typical_volume": 229749.55,
        "trend": 8.155667,
        "fair_value": 6.311122,
        "relative_strength": 17.830013,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.609988,
        "energy": 41.298569,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.465333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.2,
        "volume": 615013,
        "typical_volume": 247966.55,
        "trend": 8.231667,
        "fair_value": 6.323365,
        "relative_strength": 18.109405,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.869817,
        "energy": 45.166038,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}