{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e588ffd7-2e53-4c2a-b8c4-19c1d42342a3", "symbol": "CHTR", "name": "Charter Communications, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.3, "architecture_energy": 52.166, "architecture_maturity": 87.702, "architecture_confidence": 90.607, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.92, "rotation_up": 27.99, "upward_expansion": 27.0, "deceleration": 45.86, "rotation_down": 41.06, "downward_expansion": 65.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 2416.466667, 2370.127273, 2492.281243, 2776.298844 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2630.0, "trend_reference": 3110.029671, "distance_from_trend": -0.154349, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5655.656923, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.534979, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -29.904462, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.325641, "excess_performance": -0.270974, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.154349, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.131656, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.534979, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008937, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.299045, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.19875, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.325641, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.370937, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 68, "relative_activity": 0.664387, "balance": 0.370937, "dry_up": 0.872008, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056135, "annualized_volatility": 0.486306, "from_high_reference": -0.478175, "from_low_reference": 0.227252 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3110.029671, "fair_value_reference": 5655.656923, "structural_low": 2143.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.012905, "positive_rate": 0.277778, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.012774, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.227923, "worst_return": -0.20354, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.09912, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.101961, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.4, "worst_return": -0.374842, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.141334, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.181658, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.398577, "worst_return": -0.331325, 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"Established", "return": -0.001016, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.305536, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.093633, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.155629, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.094282, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.022385, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.835296, "energy": 63.023979, "activity_lines": [ 2319.2, 2343.888548, 2636.998721, 2930.102436 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2143.0, "volume": 110, "typical_volume": 95.7, "trend": 3192.463005, "fair_value": 5699.438974, "relative_strength": -44.245608, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.665361, "energy": 84.603979, "activity_lines": [ 2261.733333, 2302.236364, 2555.670673, 2858.906974 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2430.0, "volume": 117, "typical_volume": 100.4, "trend": 3147.963005, "fair_value": 5676.906923, "relative_strength": -36.179917, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.083314, "energy": 63.889864, "activity_lines": [ 2308.266667, 2317.254545, 2510.885482, 2809.715812 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2630.0, "volume": 68, "typical_volume": 102.35, "trend": 3110.029671, "fair_value": 5655.656923, "relative_strength": -29.904462, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.3003, "energy": 52.166323, "activity_lines": [ 2416.466667, 2370.127273, 2492.281243, 2776.298844 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }