{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e595002f-27c5-4f63-818b-b8aa6b0d89c9",
    "symbol": "FAPR",
    "name": "FT VEST U.S. EQUITY BUFFER ETF - APRIL",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 57.293,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.538,
    "architecture_energy": 58.681,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.611,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.828,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.96,
        "rotation_up": 62.64,
        "upward_expansion": 81.52,
        "deceleration": 58.47,
        "rotation_down": 20.79,
        "downward_expansion": 8.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 47.685,
    "trend_reference": 45.667123,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.044187,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 40.514697,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.17698,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.20197,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.067256,
    "excess_performance": -0.058369,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044187,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0196,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.17698,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003355,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.05202,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008368,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067256,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.471552,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 86303,
      "relative_activity": 0.265384,
      "balance": 0.471552,
      "dry_up": 0.23084,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.012794,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.049493,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000524,
      "from_low_reference": 0.114917
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 45.667123,
      "fair_value_reference": 40.514697,
      "structural_low": 44.37,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.00941,
        "positive_rate": 0.820513,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.820513,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00522,
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        "worst_return": -0.061811,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.062174,
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        "worst_return": 0.018502,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -4.867381,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 322535.25,
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        "fair_value": 40.246378,
        "relative_strength": -3.89435,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.215759,
        "energy": 48.139059,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 46.552,
        "volume": 78260,
        "typical_volume": 323726.0,
        "trend": 45.478613,
        "fair_value": 40.33075,
        "relative_strength": -3.510665,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.652922,
        "energy": 46.708401,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 46.9608,
        "volume": 75666,
        "typical_volume": 323304.65,
        "trend": 45.562623,
        "fair_value": 40.420178,
        "relative_strength": -3.543332,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.339044,
        "energy": 49.065338,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.7911,
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          46.412339,
          46.038355
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 47.685,
        "volume": 86303,
        "typical_volume": 325200.8,
        "trend": 45.667123,
        "fair_value": 40.514697,
        "relative_strength": -5.20197,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.538032,
        "energy": 58.680993,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}