{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e5971421-e64d-491c-9c49-5200295aa016", "symbol": "6617", "name": "Gongwin Biopharm Holdings Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 79.299, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.766, "architecture_energy": 37.613, "architecture_maturity": 58.503, "architecture_confidence": 50.263, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.93, "rotation_up": 48.34, "upward_expansion": 73.67, "deceleration": 68.37, "rotation_down": 26.01, "downward_expansion": 11.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 93.020001, 91.545455, 82.861429, 79.334839 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 101.0, "trend_reference": 76.566667, "distance_from_trend": 0.319112, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 123.608975, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.182907, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -15.503127, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.376022, "excess_performance": -0.06535, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.319112, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012965, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.182907, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.364475, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.155031, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.384579, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.376022, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.290521, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5760177, "relative_activity": 2.974016, "balance": 2.290521, "dry_up": 1.637082, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.152932, "annualized_volatility": 0.873956, "from_high_reference": -0.158333, "from_low_reference": 0.732419 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 76.566667, "fair_value_reference": 123.608975, "structural_low": 58.299999, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.008906, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.011087, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.123984, "worst_return": -0.182724, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.010719, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.047516, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.274336, "worst_return": -0.29803, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.046698, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.066681, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.152655, "worst_return": -0.24605, "sufficient": false }, { 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{ "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 85.800003, "volume": 2266954, "typical_volume": 1625847.15, "trend": 75.816667, "fair_value": 125.876282, "relative_strength": -28.16088, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.845776, "energy": 76.826913, "activity_lines": [ 95.353334, 86.290909, 78.1, 76.356559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 76.0, "volume": 1796300, "typical_volume": 1649543.45, "trend": 75.470001, "fair_value": 125.196795, "relative_strength": -34.426109, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.553788, "energy": 63.160717, "activity_lines": [ 90.153334, 85.594545, 78.278095, 76.368387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 96.300003, "volume": 2859599, "typical_volume": 1729912.0, "trend": 75.850001, "fair_value": 124.435898, "relative_strength": -17.772272, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.384892, "energy": 43.04563, "activity_lines": [ 90.926668, 88.361819, 80.404286, 77.712258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 101.0, "volume": 5760177, "typical_volume": 1936834.55, "trend": 76.566667, "fair_value": 123.608975, "relative_strength": -15.503127, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.766082, "energy": 37.612845, "activity_lines": [ 93.020001, 91.545455, 82.861429, 79.334839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }