{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e59a2b10-96e3-4e0d-9106-25f41f31ecae", "symbol": "601566", "name": "Joeone Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.438, "architecture_energy": 52.576, "architecture_maturity": 67.577, "architecture_confidence": 91.081, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.69, "rotation_up": 20.44, "upward_expansion": 7.96, "deceleration": 60.14, "rotation_down": 59.17, "downward_expansion": 81.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.186, 8.347455, 9.184796, 9.668236 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.39, "trend_reference": 10.427076, "distance_from_trend": -0.195364, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.299327, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.097784, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.607929, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.317886, "excess_performance": -0.274682, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.195364, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.130793, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.097784, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.213178, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.206079, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.125323, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.317886, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.639705, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29104169, "relative_activity": 0.704808, "balance": 0.639705, "dry_up": 0.852182, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.120985, "annualized_volatility": 0.391752, "from_high_reference": -0.550857, "from_low_reference": 0.133784 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.427076, "fair_value_reference": 9.299327, "structural_low": 7.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.0209, "positive_rate": 0.434783, "directional_follow_through": 0.565217, "median_excess_return": -0.012158, "regime_survival": 0.826087, "best_return": 0.195592, "worst_return": -0.312528, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.0157, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.0557, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.123904, "worst_return": -0.193351, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.067017, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.077393, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.015015, "worst_return": -0.28633, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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-76.241588, "energy": 87.882826, "activity_lines": [ 8.252, 9.003761, 9.690257, 10.184982 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.69, "volume": 42958673, "typical_volume": 40457384.65, "trend": 10.797742, "fair_value": 9.327383, "relative_strength": -25.207782, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.400271, "energy": 76.945921, "activity_lines": [ 8.027333, 8.640725, 9.462056, 9.964504 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.4, "volume": 37389193, "typical_volume": 41088965.05, "trend": 10.584409, "fair_value": 9.310592, "relative_strength": -18.492832, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.438696, "energy": 58.431306, "activity_lines": [ 8.123333, 8.465711, 9.31795, 9.809811 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.39, "volume": 29104169, "typical_volume": 41293758.35, "trend": 10.427076, "fair_value": 9.299327, "relative_strength": -20.607929, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.438223, "energy": 52.575725, "activity_lines": [ 8.186, 8.347455, 9.184796, 9.668236 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }