{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e5a3b7a1-30f0-4cd7-b6f0-b3ca67e66505", "symbol": "PEAX", "name": "Peax Solutions Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.333, "architecture_energy": 88.567, "architecture_maturity": 95.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.815, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.84, "rotation_up": 30.0, "upward_expansion": 22.0, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 56.83, "downward_expansion": 95.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.4144, 5.535382, 60.87205, 203.62992 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.487, "trend_reference": 403.003863, "distance_from_trend": -0.986385, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 784.267941, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.993004, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -99.242272, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.993691, "excess_performance": -1.022591, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.986385, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.429155, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.993004, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002731, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.992423, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000237, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.993691, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.207583, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 100870, "relative_activity": 1.33137, "balance": 1.207583, "dry_up": 2.700242, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.114312, "annualized_volatility": 6.368921, "from_high_reference": -0.994511, "from_low_reference": 0.062548 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 403.003863, "fair_value_reference": 784.267941, "structural_low": 5.164, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.001597, "positive_rate": 0.451613, "directional_follow_through": 0.548387, "median_excess_return": -0.02628, "regime_survival": 0.806452, "best_return": 0.277653, "worst_return": -0.989497, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.011795, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.032501, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.435952, "worst_return": -0.990553, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.088116, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.070433, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.663657, "worst_return": -0.323935, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"gate": "down", "direction": -68.666667, "energy": 89.033333, "activity_lines": [ 5.395667, 5.60586, 82.042339, 231.263978 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.487, "volume": 100870, "typical_volume": 75764.05, "trend": 403.003863, "fair_value": 784.267941, "relative_strength": -99.242272, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.333333, "energy": 88.566667, "activity_lines": [ 5.4144, 5.535382, 60.87205, 203.62992 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }