{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e5ade486-b7f4-4827-9fd5-0823935a2728", "symbol": "9621", "name": "Digital Research Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.989, "architecture_energy": 25.354, "architecture_maturity": 59.215, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.96, "rotation_up": 34.25, "upward_expansion": 55.96, "deceleration": 85.08, "rotation_down": 34.03, "downward_expansion": 24.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.870667, 20.975532, 20.708177, 19.681493 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 27.0, "trend_reference": 18.469714, "distance_from_trend": 0.461853, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.202036, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.030454, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 43.105714, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.607143, "excess_performance": 0.638972, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.461853, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075894, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.030454, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.155037, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.431057, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.318114, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.607143, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.567159, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23205, "relative_activity": 0.966305, "balance": 2.567159, "dry_up": 0.623643, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.113805, "annualized_volatility": 0.957535, "from_high_reference": -0.04853, "from_low_reference": 0.896067 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.469714, "fair_value_reference": 26.202036, "structural_low": 14.24, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.25275, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.216706, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.25275, "worst_return": -0.25275, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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26.320266, "activity_lines": [ 21.591238, 21.78135, 20.300313, 19.184829 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.08, "volume": 5400, "typical_volume": 22275.05, "trend": 18.064666, "fair_value": 26.388537, "relative_strength": -10.428208, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.785802, "energy": 13.38218, "activity_lines": [ 19.894666, 20.910857, 20.142421, 19.122765 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.940001, "volume": 3084, "typical_volume": 21596.7, "trend": 18.076571, "fair_value": 26.277378, "relative_strength": -10.813785, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.789078, "energy": 21.289107, "activity_lines": [ 18.479429, 20.135532, 19.961428, 19.050206 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.0, "volume": 28216, "typical_volume": 22853.9, "trend": 18.138476, "fair_value": 26.192757, "relative_strength": 2.960883, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.57089, "energy": 25.286863, "activity_lines": [ 18.145334, 19.821143, 19.964367, 19.109782 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.0, "volume": 23205, "typical_volume": 24014.15, "trend": 18.469714, "fair_value": 26.202036, "relative_strength": 43.105714, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.989497, "energy": 25.353804, "activity_lines": [ 20.870667, 20.975532, 20.708177, 19.681493 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }